"We are all Hizbullah now"
Harold Evans, writing in the Guardian unwittingly foretold the future.
"We are all Hizbullah now," proclaimed one of the banners at the Stop the War coalition's London march. Really? Is it possible that more than one person has taken leave of their senses?
Unless the state can resume its historic role as the protector of the public everyone will eventually take "leave of their senses". In Ashkelon, Israel, resident Moshe Nissimpor decided:
that the best way to halt rocket fire from Gaza - in light of what he terms the government's failure to do so - is some vigilante justice. Nissimpor developed a homemade 200-millimeter ballistic missile which he planned to launch from Ashkelon into the Gaza Strip.
"From this day onwards, we will push back to the stone age every place which dares shoot missiles into Israel's sovereign territory," he said Wednesday. "It is time the world understood Israelis' lives are not expendable."
The Balkanization of society, if continued indefinitely through identity politics, globalization and political correctness, may eventually take things to the point where no consensus over public policy is possible. When that happens, formerly public goods will be provided privately.
John Robb argues the key driver of change today is the publics' loss of confidence in the ability of the US government -- and probably all other governments -- to manage common threats. He predicts the emergence of a new tendency to privatize even national security. In a speculative scenario to illustrate his points, Robb writes about police plans, bounty hunter teams and transnational private justice:
The success of these enforcement efforts has been amplified by recent judicial changes that have automated the conviction of perpetrators based on recorded acts. This allows these certified teams to carry out the death penalty at the point of capture. We expect that these efforts will reduce the effect of disruptions drain on the national economy by five percent of gross national product by 2030 (which should be sufficient to allow economic growth to return).
Unfortunately, there have been indications that bio-terrorism is on the rise, with the worst incident to date occurring in San Antonio during the summer of 2023, inflicting some 300,000 casualties. Significantly, most of the information required for these acts have been developed by criminal groups located outside of the US for financial gain through extortion and other forms coercion. To prevent terrorists from inside of the US from acquiring this information and to slow the growth of criminal activity, national security licenses have been issued to international vendors to intercept these criminal elements within their countries of origin and terminate their activities. Time will tell if these efforts at early intervention will work. Regardless, we are hopeful.
A few posts ago I noted the actions like those of Geert Wilders in the Netherlands, who plans to release a film criticizing the Koran, would soon force European authorities into the whack-a-mole mode. When the state loses the moral authority to combat terror groups it loses it across the board. The inability of the state to stop violence by substate actors will inevitably lead to corresponding defensive measures by networked communities. Maybe all cities will one day come to resemble Third World cities, like Baghdad, with neighborhood watch groups and checkpoints between districts. The ultimate expression of a multicultural society are urban mazes of gated, privately-patrolled ghettos.
Much earlier I wrote that the logical flaw in assuming Islamic radicals, developing WMD in a cave, could privately attack the Western civilians with impunity was the assumption that Western civilians couldn't do the same. "The really harmful consequence of not recognizing proxy warfare and addressing it openly is that it creates a subterranean world of countermeasures. A black market in defense."
"We are all Hizbullah now". Not yet, but soon.
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