Is Iran really developing nuclear weapons, despite NIE estimates that it isn't? Teheran is still enriching uranium and they've been caught with nuclear weapons design data. Can Iran still be stopped short of war? And what's the connection between Iran's nuke program and European energy independence. I look at how these factors come together at Pajamas Media.
Iran's energy resources make friendship with it highly desirable. Absent the nuclear weapons question the EU would have invested in Iran's petrochemical sector in a heartbeat.
But with Iran so close to achieving a nuclear weapon, Teheran may soon present both Europe and Moscow with a fait accompli. Once Iran achieves nuclear weapons status, maintaining further Western sanctions against it will be pointless. Iran will then receive all the investments it needs and Russia will be faced not only with a rival for its energy markets but a nuclear-armed one at that.
The closer Iran gets to understanding how to produce nukes, the less Teheran needs to choose between nuclear armament and economic prosperity.
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