Thursday, June 22, 2006

Iran in Iraq

General Casey, Commander, Multinational Force Iraq talked about the security situation at a briefing in the Pentagon (June 22, 2006) and chose to highlight the role of Iran. Here's the relevant portion of his briefing in its entirety for context. I've added inline references. The first three factors he identifies in Iraqi violence are al-Qaeda in Iraq, lawless armed groups and the Sunni insurgency. In Casey's apparent estimation, the Sunni insurgency is "reaching out" and looking to end their resistance "with honor". They are apparently in contact with the Coalition. However armed groups of sectarian and criminal thugs have become a major problem in themselves. But the rising problem is the role of Iran. (includes update on the peace deal that has just been offered by the Iraqi government to the Sunni insurgency)


I'd just say a word about the insurgency. People say the insurgency's growing because attacks are up. Now, what I'd tell you it's more complex. It's more complex than the insurgency is growing. The insurgency hasn't expanded. Fourteen of the 18 provinces still have about nine attacks a day or less. And if you look at where the sectarian violence is occurring, it's occurring within about a 30-mile -- 90 percent of it is occurring in about a 30- mile radius around Baghdad; some down in Basra, some in Diyala Province, the majority right there in the center of the country. So, much more complex environment, not necessarily a worse security environment. ...

The security environment is quite complex ... but it has increased in its complexity, really, since the December elections and in the aftermath of the Samarra bombing [this would be a reference to the Al Askari Golden Mosque attack on February 22, 2006] ... Al Qaeda is hurt in the aftermath of Zarqawi's death ... as a result of information found in the course of raids  ... but they're not finished. And they won't be finished for some time.

The second big security challenge ... are these illegal armed groups ... And I say illegal armed groups rather than militias because militias take people in too many different directions. ...  They are not the nine groups of militia that are mentioned in the CPA law that fought Saddam. These are criminals. ...

The third element that adds complexity ... is the fact that the ...  Sunni insurgency, has been since the elections reaching out and looking for ways to reevaluate their options and to come out of the resistance against occupation with honor. And we are --we and the Iraqi government have several different strands of contacts going on, and there are opportunities in that regard that we just haven't had before. ... [Just at this writing The Times of London is reporting that the Iraqi Government has offered an amnesty to Sunni insurgents. "The 28-point package for national reconciliation will offer Iraqi resistance groups inclusion in the political process and an amnesty for their prisoners if they renounce violence and lay down their arms, The Times can reveal."]

Now for the Iranians.

And the fourth element that I'd suggest to you that adds complexity to the security environment is Iran. And we are quite confident that the Iranians, through their covert special operations forces, are providing weapons, IED technology and training to Shi'a extremist groups in Iraq, the training being conducted in Iran and in some cases probably in Lebanon through their surrogates. They are conducting -- using surrogates to conduct terrorist operations in Iraq, both against us and against the Iraqi people. It's decidedly unhelpful.

One reasonable way to interpret Casey's briefing is that he is asserting that the internal organized resistance (al-Qaeda in Iraq and the Sunni insurgency) is on the wane, but that externally instigated violence is on the rise. Some journalists at the briefing picked up on the highlighted role of Iran and began to focus their questions on it. In those exchanges, both Casey and Rumsfeld chose to emphasize Iranian logistical support for Shi'ite armed groups and the role of the Lebanese Hezbollah. They did not directly point the finger at Teheran. That would come later, but by implication.

Q General, in describing Iran's role in providing training and weapons for some of the insurgent or Shi'a inside Iraq, you used the word "surrogates." Does that mean that Iranians are actually directing these attacks? And if so, what is the United States military and, Mr. Secretary, the United States in general prepared to do about that?

GEN. CASEY: I have no evidence that there are Iranians in Iraq that are actually directing attacks. They are providing the materiel to Shi'a extremist groups that operate as their surrogates.

SEC. RUMSFELD: I thought you used the word "surrogate" in connection with Lebanon also -- when you were speaking earlier. I thought --

GEN. CASEY: There are some indications that Lebanese Hezbollah is also used in some of the training functions for the Iranians. So, another surrogate.

SEC. RUMSFELD: And Iran's the principal -- (word inaudible) -- then.

GEN. CASEY: But, I mean, you can't -- I can't believe that they're not giving them this equipment to them knowing that it's going to be used against us. Of course they do.

Another journalist picked up the Iranian thread after discussion had turned to "when are we bringing the boys home". The journalist wanted to know what the US was going to do about the Iranian intervention.

Q Mr. Secretary, given General Casey's concern about the Iranians, has the U.S. government communicated its concern to the Iranian government through some diplomatic channels?

SEC. RUMSFELD: You'd have to ask the State Department, but -- precisely what they've done in that regard. But I think it's safe to assume that given General Casey's concern, General Abizaid's concern, and my concern, that -- I hate to speak for them, but -- (pauses) -- I guess I shouldn't speak for them. I'll leave it for them. But clearly, I've said so publicly, General Casey said so publicly. They're not in the dark about the extent to which we're aware of what they're doing, which is notably unhelpful and causing the death of Americans.

Q Has it increased, Mr. Secretary?

SEC. RUMSFELD: General?

GEN. CASEY: Since January, we have seen an upsurge in their support, particularly to the Shi'a extremist groups.

January 2006 was probably the time (at least in my opinion) when it became obvious that the Sunni insurgency had failed. It was also when it became probable that an Iraqi government would inevitably be formed. Did that fact provide the impetus for Iran to increase it's role in the hopes of subverting this new government? It's worth recalling Casey's words at the start of his briefing. "The security environment is quite complex ... but it has increased in its complexity, really, since the December elections and in the aftermath of the Samarra bombing".  Another journalist, perhaps recalling that General Casey had mentioned Iranian special forces in his initial remarks, kept pushing.

SEC. RUMSFELD: I think we better make this the last question. Behind you, Pam.

Q General, staying on the same topic, it's sometimes difficult to sense who is pulling the strings when it comes to Iran. Are we talking about the Iranian central government pulling strings on things going on in Iraq? Are we talking about Revolutionary Guard elements? Can you elaborate a bit more who you think in Iran is actually directing this stuff?

Q And who they're helping.

SEC. RUMSFELD: Do you think there are rogue elements milling around Iran?

GEN. CASEY: It is a very complicated country. What we see, though, is their Qods Force, their special -- covert special operations forces, are the ones that are directing this. Now, you would assume that they're not doing that independently, that there is some central direction from somebody in Tehran.

Q Is the aid primarily to Sadr's forces, or is it spread between Sadr, Badr, the people in Maysan?

GEN. CASEY: We think they're supporting all of the -- not all of the groups, but a wide variety of groups across southern Iraq.

SEC. RUMSFELD: We'll make this the last question. Right here.

Secretary Rumsfeld must have been happy to change the subject and the line of questioning drifted off the North Korea after this point, with Rumsfeld becoming increasingly playful and jovial.

Commentary

Though nowhere is it categorically stated, it might be reasonable to summarize the situation as the Casey described it (or wished to portray it) in the following way:

  • The internally organized insurgency (al-Qaeda in Iraq, the Sunni insurgency) is decline. Al-Qaeda in Iraq is hurt and perhaps dying; the Sunnis are looking to throw in the towel.
  • Criminal gangs and ethnic militias are the rising threat. But Casey does not appear all that worried. "And if you look at where the sectarian violence is occurring, it's occurring within about a 30-mile -- 90 percent of it is occurring in about a 30- mile radius around Baghdad"
  • Something happened "since the December elections and in the aftermath of the Samarra bombing" that made the security situation "more complex". And that something appears to be the increasing role of Iran using the Lebanese Hezbollah and Qods to direct and support "a wide variety of groups across southern Iraq".

The recently announced Iraqi government peace proposal to the Sunnis was in all probability already known to both Rumsfeld and Casey when they gave this briefing. If I were to guess, and I emphasize guess, it means that the US is now in the process of shifting its strategic focus from al-Qaeda and Sunni threats to Iran.

276 Comments:

Blogger The Mad Fiddler said...

Reuters is reporting (6/22/2006 12:47:31 am) that gunmen in police uniforms murdered a third lawyer from Saddam Hussein’s defense team. The question naturally arises “Who benefits from this sort of intimidation and liquidation of his defenders?”

Some answers leap to mind: (1) former Ba’athist supporters of Saddam, hoping to spring him somehow, (2) groups who want Saddam dead and buried, and (3) Iran, who want Iraq stirred up and chaotic.

To me, the inability of Saddam’s defense team to maintain their own personal security is as much an index of the general state of things as any of the other miserable deaths.

And I have to ask, if they get Ramsey, do we forgive them all the other misdeeds?

6/22/2006 09:39:00 PM  
Blogger wretchard said...

Suddenly the situation in Ramadi becomes comprehensible. The Times of London article on the peace deal says Khalilzad has been negotiating this for months.

Peace negotiations involve an alternate process of sweet talk and brutal beatings. Sign? Beat on the head? Sign? Beat on the head. With both sides repeating as necessary. So the fact that this offer will be made doesn't mean it'll be all smooth sailing. There will be holdouts. There should be no amnesty for anyone who has killed an American. None.

Peronally I think Saddam has just heard the trapdoor grate under him on the gallows. In Iran there will probably be lights burning in the all the ministries.

6/22/2006 09:45:00 PM  
Blogger MOTR_Dude said...

I'm still not clear why Iran hasn't been receiving major blowback for all of this from some Iraqi group. Maybe the former Baathists will get busy with that if there is a reconciliation. It's not our style, but I can't say that I would blame them for it.

6/22/2006 09:51:00 PM  
Blogger The Mad Fiddler said...

If anyone challenges the shape of the table...

SHOOT'im.

6/22/2006 10:28:00 PM  
Blogger Alexis said...

I have suspected that Iranian surrogates were behind pushing the Shi'ite reaction to the destruction of the al-Askari mosque. That is, a wise domestic Shi'ite response would have been to consolidate alliances, ensure support of key Sunnis, and then go in en masse to punish those responsible. Instead, the Shi'ite reaction was practically designed to incite sectarian warfare.

(It's interesting how Moqtada as-Sadr was in Lebanon when the al-Askari mosque was blown up and his militia went on the rampage. Of course, once he got back home, he pulled on the reins to stop the violence. How convenient...)

The relationship between Iran and many Iraqi Shi'ite political parties is similar to the relationship the Soviet Union had with Yugoslavia's Communist Party before Tito overtly broke with Stalin. The difference is that Tito and Milovan Djilas were able to crack down on Stalinists in Yugoslavia's Communist Party in the usual Communist manner, while the ability for Iraqi political parties to conduct similar purges on Iranian agents is much lower in a liberal democratic context.

If one considers how FDR's administration got manipulated by Stalin and then consider that Iran's infiltration of Shi'ite parties is at least ten times as strong, one can imagine how difficult Iraq's situation is.

6/22/2006 10:39:00 PM  
Blogger Cedarford said...

Wretchard - The amnesty the Iraqi ingrates want is worse, because while the "noble, purple-fingered, freedom-loving, democracy hungry" elected Iraqis want any American who even erred in combat nailed as a murderer, they propose the "codephrase" amnesty for all who did not shed Innocent Iraqi blood. Meaning killing any infidel, not just US troops, is Cool under the proposal. Contractors. Margeret Hassan. NIck Berg & Co.

So we may see Marines locked up for life at the insistence of Iraq Sunnis, Senators Feingold, Durbin, Schumer and friends, the NYTimes - while pardoned Fallujans will be on Al Jazeera saying how they tricked and dispatched US civilians entering there town.

It will also offer to review the process of “de-Baathification” and financial compensation for the thousands of Sunnis who were purged from senior jobs in the Armed Forces and Civil Service after the fall of Saddam Hussein. Meaning the stupidity of Bremer, the neocons at the WH and Pentagon firing all the Ba'ath leaders in the military and civil service so they could mount a no holds barred insurgency is now final and obvious to all. I wonder if that means the US taxpayer will pay for three years of our killer's backwages.

Finally, the neocon triumphalism ends on negotiations to exact timetables for UN monitors to march the last foreign (US) troops out.

Sounds like a lost war

No bases. All but the Kurds, maybe, taking a public position that the unwelcome Crusader occupier must leave to the cheers of the masses. "Thanks America, we freedom lovers appreciate you trying - but don't let the door hit your evil infidel asses...and save plenty of refugee spots for us to get to Detroit if it goes bad here again. You owe us!"

About the only thing left is for countries "free of shedding innocent Iraqi blood" to take up the oil and reconstruction contracts - and for America to start paying back the money it borrowed from France, Saudi Arabia, China and Japan to pay for Bush's tax cuts and the 600 billion Iraq war.

6/22/2006 10:49:00 PM  
Blogger wretchard said...

They've known all along. Rumored negotiations were reported long ago. The transfer of Sunni effort to Baghdad reported a long time ago. This must have been what held back naming the defense and interior ministers. Now it makes sense. A Sunni defense and a Shi'a for interior. Each with the cred to do what needs being done. Then the bruited pullout of Brits, Japanese, etc. Then the seeking of the death sentence for Saddam. Then the press conference naming Iran.

6/22/2006 11:28:00 PM  
Blogger 2164th said...

Bank Records Secretly Tapped
Administration Began Using Global Database Shortly After 2001 Attacks
By Barton Gellman, Paul Blustein and Dafna Linzer
Washington Post Staff Writers
Friday, June 23, 2006; Page A01


"The Bush administration, relying on a presidential declaration of emergency, has secretly been tapping into a vast global database of confidential financial transactions for nearly five years, according to U.S. government and industry officials."

This is the motherload of data to track any support by Iran to any surrogate. It is simply the best way for the US to track Iranian support to surrogates, yet it is also another disturbing intrusion by government into private lives of ordinary citizens. It is another dilemma in a growing labyrinth of connections and consequences to ordinary life brought on by the GWOT. I crave the simplicity of pre 911.

6/22/2006 11:45:00 PM  
Blogger sam said...

Iran seriously considering nuclear offer: Annan:

"I believe it is considering this offer very seriously, as I have urged it to do, and I hope it will give the sufficient answer before too long," Annan told a press conference after a closed-door meeting with Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki in Geneva.

Iran maintains that its interest in nuclear energy is purely for peaceful purposes, Annan said.

He said he had told Iranian leaders, including Mottaki, that "it is very much in their interest to convince the world of that by cooperating fully with the International Atomic Energy Agency."

Iran Considering

6/22/2006 11:59:00 PM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

It shows the hypocrisy in politics: just yesterday in an endless Senate debate anyone who favored setting a deadline for troop withdrawal was said to be for "cut and run" and "surrender"; General Casey gave three reasons why setting the date would be a terrible idea; and now we read that the Bush administration and "The [Iraqi] Government will promise a finite, UN-approved timeline for the withdrawal of all foreign troops from Iraq; a halt to US operations against insurgent strongholds"!!!

"The draft marks the first time the Iraqi Government has endorsed a fixed timeline for the withdrawal of coalition forces from Iraq, a key demand of the Sunni insurgency."

When the amnesty and "compensation" is included, what is the Sunni resistance giving up? Nothing it sounds like to me, this is total surrender to them. Not only are the Sunnis not punished, but they get paid a reward.

We will see more of the Arafat syndrome here, where the Sunnis get to cut the cake and eat it too. Attacks against the government and Shiites will continue from Sunni territory, but the Sunnis will say that they come from foreign terrorists, who they can't control. The same thing will be said about past attacks on Iraqis, that they were all done by foreigners, which means that all Sunni insurgents get full pardons.

Since guerrillas don't have to keep their promises, the only parts of the deal that mean anything are the ones that the governments promise, including the UN specified US troop withdrawal schedule. As the Bush administration and generals have been saying all along, once a withdrawal date has been set, the terrorists can just run the clock out. They'll turn in some old weapons as part of the feigned surrender, put on a uniform, and continue the terrorism.

6/23/2006 03:05:00 AM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

It seems like amnesty for warfare against foreign troops will be the biggest issue in Western countries, but it really should be the smallest, none at all. Attacks against uniformed foreign invaders are war, not terrorism. What crime would the Iraqis be charged with? Saddam Hussein was their commander in chief and he ordered their army to resist the invasion. Citizens have the general right to resist foreign invasion. I don't think the elected Iraqi governments have ever passed a law making "resistance" to foreign troops a crime, and laws passed by an unelected occupation government would be meaningless.

Sure people could try to come up with some hair splitting arguments about war crimes, and US civilians who weren't part of the military effort. The reality though is that when someone invades a country the only way they can get justice is with the gun. On our way out of there we should take whatever justice we think is necessary, then forget about it.

6/23/2006 03:31:00 AM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

And the killing of Zarqawi may be part of the long list of things which were part of the deal. That would explain why it came on the same day the cabinet deal was announced. The Sunni Resistance may have given up his location as part of the deal, to show their bona fide ability to get rid of the non-Iraqi resistance if they want.

6/23/2006 03:44:00 AM  
Blogger CatoRenasci said...

wretchard said: There should be no amnesty for anyone who has killed an American. None.

Partially disagree; if you want to entice them to quit you have to distinguish between those who fought more or less honorably - i.e. just placed bombs or shot at our troops in combat - and those who committed war crimes such as those who recently totured, murdered and mutiliated our troops.

2164th said: I crave the simplicity of pre 911.

Don't we all. But, it's just possible, except by playing ostrich and living in denial until reality intrudes. It's precisely this impuse the left is overwhelmed by and seeks to exploit. Courage, friend. Keep your head when those about you are losing theirs.

6/23/2006 04:09:00 AM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

This article from the Washington Post gives a different, softer definition of amnesty, and shows that it is still being discussed.

With that said, punishing every Iraqi who killed a US citizen is not practical, since there was no law against it. Even if a new law is invented now, it would be unfair to apply it retroactively to the past four years.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/06/22/AR2006062201683.html

(free registration required)

Earlier proposals suggested offering pardons to Iraqis who have attacked U.S. troops but not to those who attacked Iraqis, an idea the U.S. Senate strongly denounced. The new plan does not make that distinction, Iraqi officials said.

"It says that the government will issue an amnesty for all those who have not committed crimes against the people of Iraq and the friends of Iraq," said Deputy Prime Minister Barham Saleh, an ethnic Kurd from President Jalal Talabani's Patriotic Union of Kurdistan. "Those who attack U.S. forces are not immune from legal consequences. An attack on Iraqi forces or multinational forces are seen legally . . . as the same thing from the perspective of the government."

6/23/2006 04:20:00 AM  
Blogger 2164th said...

This has nothing to do with Iran or Iraq except in a tangental manner but a metaphor for unintended consequences of actions even when done for the best of reasons:

BBC, 23 June 2006
Wind Farm 'Hits Eagle Numbers'

"The white-tailed eagle is one of Europe's largest birds of prey
Wind farm turbine blades are killing a key population of Europe's largest bird of prey, UK wildlife campaigners warn.
The RSPB says nine white-tailed eagles have been killed on the Smola islands off the Norwegian coast in 10 months, including all of last year's chicks.

Chick numbers at the species' former stronghold have plummeted since the wind farm was built, with breeding pairs at the site down from 19 to one.

Scientists fear wind farms planned elsewhere could also harm birds.

And there are fears Britain's small population of the birds could be adversely affected."

6/23/2006 04:29:00 AM  
Blogger desert rat said...

It's that Maliki Plan, folks.
Endorsed by Mr Bush.
US out of Iraq by '07, '08 at the latest.
No basing rights, negotoiations for that not yet announced. Mr Bush has said he will not discuss Basing, that's up to his replacement. Heard him say it, myself, at a Press conference a month or so ago.

The announced Maliki Plan's "date certain",
November '07.
It's just that the folks that are making the decisions about US troop deployments are not in Washington, nor US citizens.

The enemy seems to have just been Baathist Sunni all along. They are standing down. Mr al-Sadr and his crew, pardon and amnesty for killing US Marines, already recieved.

Score one for the Mahdi Army.
See ya'll on the beach.

6/23/2006 05:39:00 AM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

6/23/2006 06:07:00 AM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

> It's just that the folks that are making the decisions about US troop deployments are not in Washington, nor US citizens.

That's partially true in any democracy. While we can decide to leave their soil any time we want without negotiations, unless we are willing to invade an elected country we have to leave when they say.

> Mr al-Sadr and his crew, pardon and amnesty for killing US Marines, already recieved.

There is nothing to pardon, no amnesty to give. Since we invaded Iraq four years ago there has been no government, no law, no courts. In a state of anarchy there are no laws to break, and the only punishment is violent retaliation.

6/23/2006 06:09:00 AM  
Blogger RWE said...

The first thing that comes to my mind is:

If the Sunni opposition groups "sign" a peace deal then they will be on our side against the Iranians and probably against the simple crimminals as well. Which they likely would prefer, anyway - Like some of the Italians were on our side after they surrendered in 1943.

"More complex" indeed!

6/23/2006 06:11:00 AM  
Blogger desert rat said...

And, w.w. since the US does not engage in "violent retaliation", Mr al-Sadr was pardoned by Mr Bush, his Generals and their War Policies.

Folks that take up arms against the US, that get to walk away. They are Pardoned.
We've begged their pardron, as well.

May be the "right" thing to do, or not.
It is what we've done, though.

6/23/2006 06:15:00 AM  
Blogger Reocon said...

Iranian "surrogates" in Iraq? A simple exercise in analysis:
1) List the Shi'a political parties that compose the GOVERNING coalition known as the United Iraqi Alliance (UIA). With a little help from the internet, find out either which party was sheltered by Iran during the Iran-Iraq War or is currently funded by Iran. Research Moqtada al-Sadr's recent vist to Ahmaidnejad.
2) Determine what percentage of the vote the UIA drew among the purple-fingered and pious.
3) Ignore all the above and declare that "victory" is just around the corner (again).

6/23/2006 06:23:00 AM  
Blogger Reocon said...

Desert Rat:
"And, w.w. since the US does not engage in "violent retaliation", Mr al-Sadr was pardoned by Mr Bush, his Generals and their War Policies."

Exactly. We have been dedicated, since January, to building up a government that includes the turbaned toadies of Moqtada al-Sadr. Explain that one to the American families who lost brave soldiers to "quelling" Sadr's two uprisings. At some point Americans are going to have to look beyond establishing a monopoly of violence in Iraq and ask just who we are establishing that monopoly for. "Iran in Iraq" gives a hint.

6/23/2006 06:28:00 AM  
Blogger desert rat said...

reocon,
It just goes to prove what Mr Bush has been saying, all along.

It is not Islam that is the Enemy.

Also it would appear that...
It is not Iran, as there is no War Authorization with Iran, nor any "hot pursuit" combat, there.

It is not radical Islam that is the enemy, or Mr al-Sadr would be dead and many Mosques shuttered.

It is not Iranian surrogates that are the Enemy, or Mr al-Sadr would be dead, the Shia militias disbanded or destroyed.

It is not those that engaged US troops in combat, or Mr al-Sadr would be dead.

That is the great thing about Iraq,
the US has no Enemies there,
only Allies.
Even if they do not percieve it, yet

6/23/2006 06:37:00 AM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

Syria trains and equips the Sunni resistance while Iran does the same for the Shiite insurgents. It seems to just even out to me. During the first two years the Sunnis were the only ones fighting Guerrilla style, and that prevented the government from forming, the economy from healing, and caused US, Kurd, and Shiite deaths.

IMO the only way to have a peaceful Iraq is for each of the three groups to be armed and know they can't defeat the others militarily, either conventional or guerrilla style.

6/23/2006 06:40:00 AM  
Blogger desert rat said...

w.w.
You may well be right.
But you are also way off the prescribed "Course".

Unity is the word for '06.

Learn to live with it.

6/23/2006 06:53:00 AM  
Blogger desert rat said...

along with Unity there is
Reconciliation

6/23/2006 06:54:00 AM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

al-Sadr is temporarily alive, protected by Sistani. Right now he is useful to us, as someone who can fight Sunnis guerilla-style. Things could change, like if Sistani dies or al-Sadr breaks his end of the deal. The US wasn't in position to fight both Sunni and Shiite resistance, especially when it looked like the entire Shiite population might join in. We might be able to clean up al-Sadr and other loose ends on the way out, when there is nothing to loose.

6/23/2006 06:56:00 AM  
Blogger Greg said...

With all this "complexity" I wish to make a very simple comment:

I LOVE this blog!

6/23/2006 07:01:00 AM  
Blogger desert rat said...

If, w.w., Armies are really logistic trains, which is a general truism, then...

We are already "on the way out".
As reported by AP Correspondent Ryan Lenz, who was embedded with the U.S. Army Field Sustainment Brigade, which oversees the Army's military equipment in Iraq.
Here in the San Diego Union- Tribune.

The trucks are already leaving Iraq, the troops, they are not far behind.

As they say in crime, follow the money.
In Iraq, follow the Humvees,
all the way home.

6/23/2006 07:10:00 AM  
Blogger 2164th said...

Desert Rat 06:37:

Are you sure you are not Joseph Heller?

6/23/2006 07:13:00 AM  
Blogger desert rat said...

We are all like Mr al-Sadr, w.w., in that regard.

"temporarily alive"

as are we all.

6/23/2006 07:17:00 AM  
Blogger desert rat said...

I believe 2164, that Mr Heller is no longer "temporarily alive".

6/23/2006 07:21:00 AM  
Blogger 2164th said...

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

6/23/2006 07:49:00 AM  
Blogger 2164th said...

It looks like the Humvee will be the headline "loss" vehicle of choice for Iraq, that the helicopter once was for Viet Nam. There were many additional air losses and clearly the US has made astounding improvements in air protection. It is interesting to look at total US air losses during the Viet Nam campaign.

United States Air Force

A-1 Skyraider-- --191 total, 150 in combat
A-7 Corsair II-- (6)
A-26 Invader-- (22)
A-37 Dragonfly-- (22)
AC-47 Spooky-- --19 total, 17 in combat
AC-119 Shadow/Stinger-- --6 total, 2 in combat
AC-130 Spectre-- --6 total, all combat
B-52 Stratofortress-- --30 total, 18 in combat
B-57 Canberra-- --56 total, 38 in combat
B-66 Destroyer-- (27)
C-7 Caribou-- (20)
C-47 Skytrain-- (21)
C-123 Provider-- --53 total, 21 in combat
C-130 Hercules-- --55 total, 34 in combat
C-141 Starlifter-- (2)
EB-66 Destroyer (14)
EC-121 Bat Cat-- (2)
F-4 Phantom II-- --445 total, 382 in combat
F-5 Freedom Fighter-- (9)
F-100 Super Sabre-- --243 total, 198 in combat
F-102 Delta Dagger-- (14)
F-104 Starfighter-- (14)
F-105 Thunderchief-- --397 total, 334 in combat
F-111 "Aardvark"-- --10 total, 6 in combat
HU-16 Albatross-- (2)
KB-50 Superfortress-- (1)
KC-135 Stratotanker-- (3)
O-1 Bird Dog-- --172 total, 122 in combat
O-2 Skymaster-- --104 total, 82 in combat
OV-10 Bronco-- --63 total, 47 in combat
QU-22-- (9)
RF-4 Phantom-- --83 total, 76 in combat
RF-101 Voodoo-- --39 total, 33 in combat
SR-71 Blackbird-- --2, 0 combat
T-28 Trojan-- (23)
U-2 "Dragon Lady"-- (1)
U-3 Blue Canoe-- (1)
U-6 Beaver-- (1)
U-10 Courier-- (1)
Source: Air Force Magazine, Vol.87, No. 9, September 2004, P.58, "The Vietnam War Almanac," with attribution to USAF Operations Report, Nov. 30, 1973

United States Navy

A-1 Skyraider --65 total, 48 in combat
A-3 Skywarrior --7 total, 2 in combat
A-4 Skyhawk --282 total, 195 in combat
A-5 Vigilante (7) --0 in combat
A-6 Intruder --62 total, 51 in combat
A-7 Corsair --100 total, 55 in combat
C-1 Trader --4 total, 0 in combat
C-2 Greyhound --1 total, 0 in combat
C-47 Skytrain (1)
E-1 Tracer --3 total, 0 in combat
E-2 Hawkeye --2 total, 0 in combat
EA-1 Skyraider --4 total, 1 in combat
EC-121 Warning Star (1?)
F-4 Phantom --138 total, 75 in combat
F-8 Crusader --118 total, 57 in combat
OV-10 Bronco (7)
P-2 Neptune (4)
P-3 Orion (2)
RA-5 Vigilante --26 total, 18 in combat
RF-8 Crusader --29 total, 19 in combat
S-2 Tracker --4 total, 2 in combat
Source: hand tabulation of individual loss entries by date and aircraft carrier, June 7, 1964-August 15, 1973, carrier air wings only, recorded in Tonkin Gulf Yacht Club, René J. Francillon (1988)

United States Marine Corps

A-4 Skyhawk 81
A-6 Intruder 25
C-117 Skytrain 2
EA-6 Prowler 2
EF-10 Skynight 5
F-4 Phantom 98
F-8 Crusader 21
KC-130 Hercules 4
O-1 Bird Dog 7
OV-10 Bronco 10
RF-4 Phantom 4
RF-8 Crusader 1
TA-4 Skyhawk 10
TF-9 Cougar 1

6/23/2006 07:51:00 AM  
Blogger 2164th said...

In addition the helicopter losses in Viet Nam were over 4500 with over half in combat.

6/23/2006 07:58:00 AM  
Blogger desert rat said...

2164
Iraq as 'Nam does not make the cut, does it?

These Baathist Sunni enemies are none to good, nor equipped.

Not even a SAM-7 in the inventory.
Nor a Mig, nor even a single field gun, it seems.
No AA, not even a truck mounted quad 50 is left to use against US.

Yet these Baathist have fought US to a draw, a negotiated settlement, while their strongholds, like Ramadi, Haditha and Tikrit still stand.

The US, a tiger to be feared, that's for sure. As the Palistinians have learned, cutbacks in US AID money can be painful.

6/23/2006 07:59:00 AM  
Blogger 2164th said...

The numbers are startling DR and put things in quite a different perspective.

6/23/2006 08:10:00 AM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

The Sunnis lost big time. They used to be the undisputed rulers of all of Iraq. That's gone and its not coming back. Now they're just a 20% minority in a democracy.

6/23/2006 08:11:00 AM  
Blogger Cedarford said...

Desert Rat - The most amusing part of Beloved Maximum War Leader Bush's botched postwar is that it may end up the only people doing hard time and fines and in disgrace as punishment for their conduct after the "Cakewalk Victory" might be the US Marines the Sunnis fingered for "atrocities".

The Sunnis walk. The Mahdi Army gets away with bushwhacking our guys. Whipped in the "real war" as Bush and the neocons understood war to be, the Sunnis fought the 2nd war the Bushies were too stupid to see existing for almost a year - adroitly and ruthlessly. They got the press, organized nationwide, kept the US from flattening their cities and bleeding troops doing door-to-door instead to "help win Sunni hearts and minds" - even got payment for any destroyed houses and just about anyone killed by the Americans, including "compensation for widows" of Jihadis.

6/23/2006 08:18:00 AM  
Blogger 2164th said...

10-4 C4

6/23/2006 08:19:00 AM  
Blogger desert rat said...

The image of the Baathist Sunni are of little concern, w.w.
It is the image of the US that is paramount.

When this is how our Enemies are dealt with"

THE OFFER

A schedule for coalition forces to withdraw

General amnesty for prisoners “who have not shed innocent Iraqis’ blood”

A halt to “anti-terrorist operations” by coalition forces in insurgent areas

A review of the process of de-Baathification and of financial compensation to sacked civil servants from the Saddam regime

If a negotiated settlement is the aim, then these concessions are on target. As we excelerate our withdrawl, to fulfill the "Peace", I am sure the Iranians will thank US.

But where has all the talk of the soon to be expanded war gone?
The need to threaten Iran with our troop strength in Iraq?

Now, when the reality has become all to clear, we have already begun to pull out of Iraq.

6/23/2006 08:26:00 AM  
Blogger Aristides said...

Okay, this is using something I've been working on since Wretchard's Fourth Generation post. It's incomplete but it pertinent enough to this topic to be stated in brief.

If Iranian Spec Op Forces are funding, training, and directing disparate Shia groups to disturb, frustrate, and attack the Iraqi Government and Coalition forces, the only way we are going to successfully dismantle this network is by focusing on Iran. Let me explain.

Think of the Iran problem as a network, each node an actor, and each connection some information that is transmitted from one node to the other (this can be logistical, directional, or psychological information and coordination). For each node, there are k connections to other nodes. Further, for each node there is an l clustering coefficient (a clustering coefficient describes how many of your "connections" are connected to each other--basically, a high clustering coefficient describes a modular node).

The type of network we are dealing is a non-random, scale-free modular network with a power-law distribution for k. Without going too far into it, in this type of network the entire system is supported by a few hubs (high k value node). The internet is a prime example of this, as is our neurological network. A scale-free network is robust against random error: remove a node at random, and the network can survive an incredibly high number of outages. However, these networks have a massive Achilles' Heel: they are quite vulnerable to a targeted, systematic attack on their hubs.

In the Iranian network, the hubs are Iranian spec ops groups. This is clear if you think about it. The Iranians are connected to a large amount of disparate groups (high k value), and the groups they are connected to are not themselves connected to each other (they have a low l value). That is the classic definition of a hub.

With this type of network, choosing to focus one's energy on nodes with low k values and high clustering coefficients is a recipe for defeat. Even removing several mid-level nodes is not enough to dismantle the network. Some parts that are not rounded up will drift away and reconnect. Other parts that are eliminated will regenerate elsewhere. We could eliminate 80% of the nodes and still be facing a functional network.

If we want to truly kill this organism, we need to strike at the source--the backbone of the network--and the core functions that allow it to survive. The core functions here, the functions that must always be 'on' for the network to exist, are the Iranian Spec Ops and the Iranian Government's willingness to use them. So long as the Iranians supply moral and logistical support, we will not be able to bring this thing under control. They must be our target.

How we do that, I'm not sure, but the paradigm of progress is there. Interdicting the Spec Ops forces would be incredibly difficult, I would imagine. Bombing Iran even more so. But if we are serious about winning in Iraq, and Iran is bent on seeing us lose, then our only chance of success is to face East and start pruning.

6/23/2006 08:31:00 AM  
Blogger desert rat said...

I do agree, aristide.

Another analogy would be a neighbor's hedge that grows over our mutal fence.
While it is true the semi annual trimming of his plants, growing on my side of the fence, will never solve the problem. Ultimately the removal of the hedge would be required to do that.
It does not mean that I should stop cutting the hedge back, as it grows into my yard.
No matter the difficulty

6/23/2006 08:41:00 AM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

D.R.

I guess I don't understand what you want. Maybe it would help if you explained it, your ideal conclusion to the war.

For the reasons I explained earlier, something like this is really the only good and expected outcome I can imagine from the invasion of Iraq. The good outcome is that Iraq is a democracy, as the Sunnis do not and will not rule by force; Iraqis rule the country, not foreign Al Qaeda; weapons of mass destruction have been checked for and destroyed.

This was not what the Sunnis wanted. They wanted the US to immediately collapse, the new government to never be formed, and the old Baathist regime take over again.

Of the things you have mentioned:
I see amnesty as being the only possible solution. Iraq is lawless, so there is no law to charge Sunnis with. It would be impossible to go through the death of every US soldier in an Iraqi courtroom, calling witnesses and searching for evidence in order to reach some sort of verdict. The law of the battle field is to take revenge there. There are a lot of Iraqi and foreign terrorists in hell because they attacked our forces and some of their comrades will be joining them soon.

As far as compensation for Baathists go, that's an internal Iraqi issue. Supposedly many had to join the party or die, or not be able to get a job, so excluding all of them may have been a mistake.

Eventually we have to stop fighting and leave. It's not our country. In a lot of ways I don't care how the three groups work things out. We gave them a democracy, the whole world has seen that. If they choose civil war or partitioning, that's their choice and their problem.

6/23/2006 09:11:00 AM  
Blogger hdgreene said...

I sent Wretchard this e-mail after Z-man got plastered, before I signed up for comments, and got website of my own!

Dear Mr. Fernandez,

Thank you for your insightful analysis.

On the theory that it takes a lot more skill to build a house than to smash one, I thought Iraq would be a long, frustrating haul up a fairly (or unfairly) steep hill--what with the smashers and the builders on the same site (and sometimes the same individuals--building in the morning and smahing at night).

But allow me to be optimistic for a moment.

The "insurrection" had it's uses for the Sunnis as crow bar for smashing (and driving out the Americans) back when the Sunnis would win the ensuing Civil War. Now that they would likely lose the insurgents are more useful as a pry bar for gaining concessions.

Since I am not an expert I can make some connections that are verboten for experts.

Here's the deal: The Shia and Kurds reach an understanding with "the leading Sunnis." The new government gives them a token of their good intentions (Ministry of Defense) and the Sunnis pony up Zarqawi (besides, having a 500 lb. bomb land in the recalcitrant mo-fo's lap could help bring some discipline to the movement). The Quid pro quo proceeds from there (a fair divide of oil revenue and the government gets control over Baghdad and so on--but they're negotiating, not me).

Once the Sunnis give up the foreign fighters the end of the insurgency must be near since the "jihadis" will take the blame for the excesses--blowing up peaceful worshipers and what not. After all, these folks must share the same geographic space.

Allow me to carry the Speculation a little further.

On account of the "Moral Hazards" involved both sides may see the need for continued US presence (not for love of the US, mind you, but pure self interest). A victory for Democrats in November may not be in the interest of either side (besides, there are those billions in future aid to consider). So, "improvement and progress" may be shown in the run up to November -- though things may deteriorate afterwards as negotiations resume.

The Vietnam analogy for the Sunnis is now "look what happened to Cambodia."

I wrote that just after Z-man found himself on the ash heap of history.

Now, here's the problem for Iran. They have terror tentacles stretching all over the world, and they say they'll use them if we go after their nukes. But the world that can live with their terror tentacles can't abide them having terror tentacles and nukes (they can use their terrorist while denying involvement and be immune to retaliation). In this case their terrorist simply become too much of a threat to everyone.

Now let's go back to the '06 election. The mullah's may want the Dem's to take Congress and then face a divided America during the hard negotiations ahead (which must be backed by the threat of force). Continued turmoil in Iraq might help to bring turmoil to the US (impeachment hearings, anyone?).

But does the world want that? Or do they want an American attack dog that can be unleashed against Iran? The world could just shrug and say, "May as well deal with the nukes and the terroist--and perhaps the regime--in one go." I beleive this is called leverage. If I was your basic fat and sassy mullah, I'd be a bit concerned right now.

This might help explain why the Adminstration hasn't made a big deal out of "oil for food" and WMD moved over the borders by the Ruskies (which may have been done with Bush and Chenney's agreement -- get the weapons where Al Q can't grab them during the turmoil of invasion.)

Interesting times.

6/23/2006 09:13:00 AM  
Blogger desert rat said...

Many here will enjoy Jack Kelly's farewell to Mr Rather.
Mr Kelly describes Tet and how the reporting of it had an impact on that War. He compares the MSM influence of that era to today's.

It is posted at Real Clear Politics "Iraq, Vietnam, the MSM & Dan Rather"

It is extra interesting as a timetable for withdrawl is on the table in Iraq, despite both Mr Bush's and Sense of the Senate's desire for there not to be a schedule.

Mr Maliki knows best, I guess.

6/23/2006 09:13:00 AM  
Blogger desert rat said...

w.w.
What would I have seen for the post invasion Iraq, or where would I go from here?

In both the long and short terms I would have supported more programs that were disapproved of at Camp Taji. I would have integrated the Iraqis with the US troops, not segregated them.

I would have increased US presence in each ISF unit. Standing up the ISF quicker. I would have begun to withdraw conventional US forces a year or more ago.

I would have created a ruling triumverate of Mr Talabani, Mr Allawi & Mr Chilabi that would have ruled until the War was over and the US had withdrawn.

Then democracy could have been installed, from the bottom up, not the top down.

There are many could of's, should of's and would of's. Most of these things are not said in hindsight, but have been advocated for over a year and some months.

Where we are today is empowering the Iranian surrogates in Iraq. That is a fact. It may or may not play out well in the end.

Depends upon who the enemy really is, in these Mohammedan Wars.

It was Wahhabists that attacked the US on 9/11/01. There are few of those in Iran, nor in the Mahdi Army. There are many in the KSA, though. As well as Pakistan.

6/23/2006 09:33:00 AM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

It is possible too that some US forces will remain, perhaps with basing rights. A schedule could have on the last line that 30,000 US troops remain indefinitely.

Christian Science Monitor interviewed a Shiite insurgent leader who said that "the bulk" of American forces will leave.

Whatever is decided now, as a sovereign country they could change their minds and throw us out later anyway, as Uzbekistan (?) recently did. That's the price of setting up free countries.

6/23/2006 09:41:00 AM  
Blogger desert rat said...

w.w.
We did not "set up" Uzbeckistan, nor is it "free".

That analogy is none to good.

Panama or Subic Bay would have been better.

Countries we did "set up" and that we did later depart, when asked.
In both cases there were schedules and timelines.

Panama, we had to go back once and uninstall the government, but things are on track now.

6/23/2006 09:51:00 AM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

According to this Reuters article, some of the things being published about the deal are untrue, some of the things mentioned in the article this thread is about.

The Iraqi government will present a national reconciliation plan to parliament Sunday that would grant some insurgents amnesty and ask for approval of a series of steps for Iraqis to take over security from U.S. troops, according to a key politician and a draft of the document.

A draft of the 28-point proposal by Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki contains an updated version of a sequence of moves — with no specific dates — preparing Iraqi forces to assume control of national security.

The U.S.-led coalition wants to hand over security in certain regions while withdrawing to larger regional bases in case of emergency. A final stage would involve the drawdown of U.S. troops from those bases.

"There is no finite and U.N.-approved timeline for the withdrawal of foreign troops," said Kurdish politician Mahmoud Othman, a close ally of President Jalal Talabani, who was to present the plan.

The plan proposes a general pardon for thousands of prisoners who are determined not to have committed "crimes and clear terrorist actions."

The government already has been pardoning groups of such prisoners and releasing them by the hundreds in recent months.

The plan promises to open a review of the country's new constitution to address demands made by Sunni Arabs, while attempting to find a way to eradicate sectarian militias. It also pledges to shield the crucial Defense and Interior ministries from outside political influence.

The early draft obtained by The Associated Press called for a joint stand by Shiites, Sunnis and Kurds on a series of critical issues, before drawing up more detailed proposals. It was not clear what progress had been made on that front, including a call for a "candid and clear stand" by all sides on policy toward supporters of former President

Saddam Hussein and his outlawed Baath party.

The plan did not include a call for halting "anti-terrorist" operations by coalition forces, Othman said, contradicting some published reports.

Othman said committees would be formed to discuss the amnesty plans and the problem of dealing with members of the once-ruling Baath Party. He stressed that those proposals remained on the drawing board.

"It is so hard to implement this package in a proper way," he said. "It's so hard to bring all parties together on this package."

White House spokesman Tony Snow said June 18 that "the prime minister's made it clear that he's not going to grant amnesty to anybody with blood on their hands, and I'll let him define that."

The plan was to be presented last week, but al-Maliki delayed the announcement because of disagreements among

Iraq's ethnic and sectarian groups.

6/23/2006 10:03:00 AM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

The prior article was from news.yahoo.com, not Reuters: "Amnesty may be part of Iraq reconciliation "

6/23/2006 10:10:00 AM  
Blogger Reocon said...

Wretchard said:
"There should be no amnesty for anyone who has killed an American. None."

Wouldn't that be nice. And why stop at amnesty, shouldn't we push the principle to apply to those holding political office in Iraq? Wretchard, do you think the zero tolerance policy that you advocate should apply to elected members of the current government like those in Saleh al-Mutlak's Iraqi National Dialogue Front or Sadr's party in the UIA? What about Al-Fadhila?

I think a good follow up post to "Iran in Iraq" should dare to examine the allegiances and ethos of Sunni and Shiite parties that make up the government we're spending blood and treasure to defend.

6/23/2006 10:18:00 AM  
Blogger desert rat said...

So, w.w., which reporting is most accurate, The Times of London or Reuters?

That is the trouble with the MSM, they can't keep the storyline straight.

28 pages to be debated, then offered as a Peace Plan. Which will then be negotiated further.

All the while "A halt to “anti-terrorist operations” by coalition forces in insurgent areas" will be in effect.

The "War" will be over.
Iraq left to the Iraqis.

The US withdrawl under way.

6/23/2006 10:19:00 AM  
Blogger desert rat said...

Who supplied it to yahoo, w.w.?

What's the bloodline of that srory?

Judge it's verasity, how?

6/23/2006 10:23:00 AM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

Many British tabloid type news papers are unreliable, so I don't trust them.

The AP article I posted said their source is "Kurdish politician Mahmoud Othman, a close ally of President Jalal Talabani, who was to present the plan."

6/23/2006 10:27:00 AM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

Many things from the British article are unbelievable, like halting anti-terror operations. No country ever stops anti-terrorist activities. That's so bizarre that it sounds almost like satire.

There is a washingtonpost.com article which also disagrees, "Iraq Refines Its Amnesty Plan".

6/23/2006 10:31:00 AM  
Blogger desert rat said...

The money line is
" by coalition forces ", not that all operations would stop.
Just that US operations would stop.

More than reasonable, as a precondition to negotiation and reconciliation.
The US Command would like nothing better. It what they are trying to achieve, in Camp Taji, for example.

The Times of London is many things, but no tabloid, w.w.

6/23/2006 10:39:00 AM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

There is no way that the US would leave our troops there as sitting ducks without fighting back. The Times article is clearly way, way off as the other articles indicate. The other articles also say this is a series of steps, not something that happens all at once.

6/23/2006 10:44:00 AM  
Blogger desert rat said...

If Haditha is not patrolled by coalition troops, they will not be attacked.

If Ramadi is left to the Iraqi to patrol, our troops are safer. The Marine commander there in Ramadi, a Captain, told his men not to return fire if the streets were crowded.
In Taji the orders were to take fire from snipers and not return it, nor take out the sniper's support system. In fact when the support system was removed, that led to officers being relieved and an subsequent Iraqi officer "strike".

US forces are often ordered to be "sitting ducks" as you say.
No change there w.w.

6/23/2006 11:00:00 AM  
Blogger Habu_1 said...

Iran in Iraq!. I'm shocked. Sunni insurgency "reaching out". What a wonderful sign, particularly when they know our Fight'in Humvees are stateside bound followed by the benevolent US troops.

This is going to end up a crock of shit. Iraq can't do it alone, we won't stay and the neighbors are all against the US toady government set up by "free elections" It's also a relief that the Whabbists, Muslim Brotherhood,HezboBoys,Crips,Bloods,MS-13, and others have learned of our tenacious resolve to "get the job done" Mao was right ... the US is a paper tiger. Korea,Vietnam,Kobar Towers,Somalia,Twin Towers,USS Cole,Twin Towers part II,give away the Panama Canal,Okinawa,outsource sensitive jobs. Our southern border a joke, social security for illegals,KELO eminent domain going to the highest bidder. Girly men running the beltway bandits and the Congress.
Nope, it's not the greatest generation. In fact it's an insult to all those who have gone before.
Nope, it ain't you Dad's America.

6/23/2006 11:02:00 AM  
Blogger Habu_1 said...

My apologies for leaving out the numerous US embassies bombed and the Iranian takeover and 444 day humiliation we lived with during Jimma's contemplative time in shock, cowering in the Rose garden.

Let's hear some success stories..here I'll start ..Granada..over

6/23/2006 11:09:00 AM  
Blogger Habu_1 said...

Success...how could I forget....

KUWAIT

where now according to polling we are disliked by 78% of the population

6/23/2006 11:25:00 AM  
Blogger bobalharb said...

One line of thought has it that we'd be best off to get out and let it devolve into serious fighting between the factions, even widening to include KSA, Syria, Iran etc. Let all these cousins kill one another. Would give the west and the world some breathing space. Make no real comment on the idea myself, other than that the vision of mo v. mo is somewhat comforting. Have no idea how things would actually work out.

6/23/2006 11:29:00 AM  
Blogger desert rat said...

Speaking of Kuwait, habu, they are having Elections soon. They're going to allow women to vote and even run for office.
DEMOCRACY RISING
"KUWAITIS' VOTE A NEW ARAB MILESTONE"

So there you go, 15 plus years later, women get to vote.

Success of a sort

6/23/2006 11:32:00 AM  
Blogger bobalharb said...

Habu--You are in a dark mood today. Cheer up a little,think of Eastern Europe. Poland at any rate doesn't have a mo problem, least that I've heard of. Think Japan, if nothing else. Read the other day we are starting on building 25 nuke generating plants around the country. Must be some good news somewhere, though agree it takes some searching.

6/23/2006 11:38:00 AM  
Blogger Habu_1 said...

Big Rock Candy Mountain



One evening as the sun went down and the jungle fire was burning
Down the track came a hobo hiking and he said boys I'm not turning
I'm headin for a land that's far away beside the crystal fountains
So come with me we'll go and see the Big Rock Candy Mountains

In the Big Rock Candy Mountains there's a land that's fair and bright
Where the handouts grow on bushes and you sleep out every night
Where the boxcars are all empty and the sun shines every day
On the birds and the bees and the cigarette trees
Where the lemonade springs where the bluebird sings
In the Big Rock Candy Mountains

In the Big Rock Candy Mountains all the cops have wooden legs
And the bulldogs all have rubber teeth and the hens lay soft boiled eggs
The farmer's trees are full of fruit and the barns are full of hay
Oh, I'm bound to go where there ain't no snow
Where the rain don't fall and the wind don't blow
In the Big Rock Candy Mountains

In the Big Rock Candy Mountains you never change your socks
And the little streams of alcohol come a-trickling down the rocks
The brakemen have to tip their hats and the railroad bulls are blind
There's a lake of stew and of whiskey too
You can paddle all around 'em in a big canoe
In the Big Rock Candy Mountains

In the Big Rock Candy Mountains the jails are made of tin
And you can walk right out again as soon as you are in
There ain't no short handled shovels, no axes saws or picks
I'm a goin to stay where you sleep all day
Where they hung the jerk that invented work
In the Big Rock Candy Mountains

I'll see you all this coming fall in the Big Rock Candy Mountains

6/23/2006 12:09:00 PM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

Here's the byline to article I posted above:

Amnesty may be part of Iraq reconciliation
By QASSIM ABDUL-ZAHRA, Associated Press Writer

Associated Press writer Sinan Salaheddin in Baghdad contributed to this report.

6/23/2006 12:16:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

Sucess, you want sucess?
Compare and contrast the wartime exploits of Joe and John, vs Ted.
Or
HWB vs GWB
Noble Brown Fingers
Amnesty for the New York Times
Amnesty for 400,000 New Arrivals/yr
Amnesty for Clintonista leaking traitors
Good Will for All,
A New Tone of Sorts.

6/23/2006 12:30:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

Correction for ww:
"That's so bizarre that it sounds almost like Sartre"

6/23/2006 12:37:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

10:19 AM At least JFK2 doesn't get his way.
Fire up the booster club.

6/23/2006 12:40:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

but not a dimes worth of differences between the "Plans".

Mr Maliki and his Team have been talkin' '07 & '08 for months, now.

Mr Kerry set a "date",
Mr Maliki set a "circumstance",
they'll play the same way.
November '07 with some fudge time, six months or so.

Takes the War in Iraq out of the '08 US elections.
Puts the hunt for Osama above the fold.

6/23/2006 12:47:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

A Democrat timetable would
"send a signal."
No sending needed this way.
Karzai asks to please hunt where he might be found.
Strange Duck.

6/23/2006 01:11:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

At 8:31 the challenge was laid out.
It is as true for the Afghan - Pakistan area as it is for Iraq & Iran.

We can continue to lop off the branches, but the root is on the other side of the fence.

Funny how we respect the sanctity Pakistan's borders more than we do our own.

6/23/2006 01:19:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

Mexicans make better workers.
Gives "lazy American" low income workers more of a "challenge."
Builds Character.

6/23/2006 01:23:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

If we only had an Army of Aristides, we could immobilize them while they are figuring out what we were up to.
Meanwhile, install high-bandwidth MTV-enabled internet access throughout Tehran while they're in a daze.

6/23/2006 01:28:00 PM  
Blogger Alexis said...

habu_1 11:02


Well, there was once a great superpower led by men who believed in fighting against an evil regime. However, the nation was tired, it had fought a war a generation earlier to a humiliating stalemate, had declining reserves of youth to man the armies, and had had its military cut in the past decade. The war it was fighting seemed pointless to many, and the enemy didn't seem anywhere close to being defeated. It had a legacy of bitter partisan politics based on invective and hatred of the leaders of the Left or the Right. Defeatism was rampant. Many people from the older generations were convinced that war didn't solve anything, and social malaise was the order of the day.

Yes, it was a great power, but one sharp defeat would bring it down to its knees.

The nation I am referring to is France in 1940.

6/23/2006 01:33:00 PM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

Here's an updated version of the plan, which does not require the US to abandon Iraq. This matches what Rumsfeld said in a press conference yesterday, that as time passes and the Iraq Army proves itself, the US Forces gradually move to more distant bases, from which they can still respond in Iraq if needed. Kuwait is currently being used for this purpose, and was mentioned.

Iraqis call state of emergency in Baghdad By KIM GAMEL, Associated Press Writer
26 minutes ago

BAGHDAD, Iraq -
...
On the political front, a key politician said the Iraqi government will present a 28-point national reconciliation plan to parliament Sunday that would grant some insurgents amnesty and ask for approval of a series of steps for Iraqis to take over security from U.S. troops.

Kurdish politician Mahmoud Othman said the plan also would include a timeline for preparing Iraqi forces to take over security from U.S. forces.

That would fit with the overall U.S.-led coalition strategy to transfer security to Iraqi forces in certain regions while withdrawing to larger regional bases to stand ready to help in case of emergency. A final stage would involve the drawdown of U.S. troops from those bases.

"There is no finite and U.N.-approved timeline for the withdrawal of foreign troops, but there is a timeline to accomplish the readiness of Iraqi security forces to take over security in the country," Othman said.

...

6/23/2006 01:54:00 PM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

6/23/2006 01:58:00 PM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

In yesterday's press conference Rumsfeld and General Clark specifically said that Maliki's plan was not setting a date certain for US withdrawal from Iraq or the region. In fact in the last question of the press conference Clark said in no uncertain terms that would be a mistake.

Instead they said, Maliki's plan, the one being negotiated with all groups, sets dates when the Iraqi forces to be able to take over security duties.

6/23/2006 02:04:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

"...Kurdish politician Mahmoud Othman said the plan also would include a timeline for preparing Iraqi forces to take over security from U.S. forces.
...
... but
there is a timeline to accomplish the readiness of Iraqi security forces to take over security in the country,"
Othman said. ..."

When is a timeline not a timeline, or a schedule not a schedule?
Tne Prime Minister and the Iraqi NSA have been clear and concise in the schedule outlines. November '07 is the target, add six months for perpetual tardiness and there you'll have it.
As outlined in the Bush endorsed Maliki Plan, circumstances for complete handover to be ready by November '07. March '08 at the latest.
Or Mr Maliki & his Government will be considered a failure by his people.

6/23/2006 02:16:00 PM  
Blogger 2164th said...

The Homeboy jihadis stepping up for AQ is a scary thing. It puts a whole new meaning to the Department of Home Land Security.

6/23/2006 02:19:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

Tony explains:
"The White House press secretary, Tony Snow, said Mr. Mineta was leaving
"because he wanted to.
"
---
But his legacy of excusing the suspect while harassing the citizenry remains.

6/23/2006 02:20:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

If there is no security mission for coalition troops, why would they stay?

6/23/2006 02:20:00 PM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

Iraqi forces taking over security from U.S. forces does not equal US forces leaving Iraq or the region. Absolutely not. That is just one early step of the plan.

When a province is ready for Iraqi control, all foreign forces move to other parts of Iraq. This will happen by the end of July for the first province, Muthanna, according to the DOD.
http://www.dod.gov/news/Jun2006/20060622_5488.html

Eventually (a reduced number of) foreign troops will only be stationed in regional bases, able to respond to Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, etc. as needed.

I don't see a problem with this plan. No one ever said that the US would continue patrolling every inch of Iraq by itself for the rest of eternity, and I see no wisdom in doing that.

6/23/2006 02:26:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

Now in NYCity subways, they'll have cause to search every person of African descent. They constitute a "known threat" now.

May have bomb in that backpack, never can tell, unless we look.

How many black people are there in the Americas?
Lots more than Arabs, no?
No telling signs of Mohammedism, either, are there?
Have to keep checking 'em all, over and over again. Until we get to the root of the problem.

No matter the difficulty.

6/23/2006 02:27:00 PM  
Blogger 2164th said...

Good article from BBC. Two real comforting stats: "Confidence in the al-Qaeda leader had also fallen in Pakistan, where 38% of people expressed some confidence in him, down from 51%.

However 61% of Nigerian Muslims had at least some confidence in bin Laden, a sharp rise from 44% in May 2003."

Muslims and Al-Qaeda

..."In one of the survey's most striking findings, majorities in Indonesia, Turkey, Egypt, and Jordan said they did not believe Arabs carried out the attacks on the US on 11 September 2001.


READ THE FINDINGS Of THE PEW REPORT

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/bsp/hi/pdfs/23_06_06_pew_global_attitudes_project.pdf



The report says this attitude is not limited to Muslims in Muslim-dominated countries - 56% of British Muslims said the same.

The survey cited a dramatic drop in support for Osama Bin Laden in Jordan as a sign of falling support for terrorism in Muslim countries.

Less than 1% of respondents in the country - hit by triple hotel bombings last November - expressed confidence in Bin Laden, down from a quarter last year.

6/23/2006 02:29:00 PM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

> D.R. > If there is no security mission for coalition troops, why would they stay?

The same reason we stay in other countries like South Korea and Japan who are fully capable of handling their own basic security needs. The US forces act as "trip wires" which if another country invades and attacks, has basically attacked the US itself. The US forces can use our high power intelligence monitoring and other equipment to gather data benefiting both the US and host country.

6/23/2006 02:32:00 PM  
Blogger 2164th said...

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

6/23/2006 02:32:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

w.w.
Call when there is a signed lease & status of forces agreement, or at least negotiations for one.
'Til then, there is no agreement,
so as you've mentioned previously.
Regardless of the "Plan"
It's up to the Iraqis.

6/23/2006 02:32:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

" "I'D RATHER HAVE THIS BUSH FOR PRESIDENT"
read one lady's naked torso with an arrow pointing down to the presidential material in question. What a bleak comment on the bitter divisions in our society that even so all-American a tradition as nude bicycling down Main Street should now be so nakedly partisan.

It's as if the republic itself is now divided into a red buttock and a blue buttock permanently cleaved by the bicycle seat of war.
"
- Steyn

6/23/2006 02:37:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

And whom are we "trip wiring" in Iraq?
Kuwait?
KSA or Jordan?
The Turks, perhaps.
There is no external threat to Iraq.
Not from overt invasion, meanwhile our conventional force has already proven inadequate against covert ops in the country.
Baghdad, Taji, Haditha, Tikrit & Ramadi stand today as proof.

As does Basra, now.

6/23/2006 02:37:00 PM  
Blogger Habu_1 said...

In the Big Rock Candy Mountains all the cops have wooden legs
And the bulldogs all have rubber teeth and the hens lay soft boiled eggs.

You'd think a nation that could produce great movies like "Ishtar" and TV programs like "Jerry Springer" could get bulldogs with real teeth.
Also, next time we go in to save a country and not do nation building,(which we don't do) do you think we could get Keith Jackson to do the play by play?
The Military Times is reporting that at Parris Island another week of training has been added to the already tough training. Marines will now learn how to pick up trash with their bayonets and also perform a diaper change for local babies. The Air Force will continue their missions by returning to the "O" Club every night.
Meantime the State Department is still attempting to sign a peace treaty with the Seminole Indians, under treat of KELOing their casinos.
The Navy Seals have developed a bottomless Zodiac that they can get in, hold up, and run across the desert.
The Army will continue missing it's recruitment quotas.
We will prevail ...

6/23/2006 02:39:00 PM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

> There is no external threat to Iraq.

Really? If we weren't there, there is no chance that Iran would invade and occupy at least the Shiite part of Iraq? That Turkey wouldn't fight with the Kurds? Given that there was an Iran Iraq war I wouldn't be so sure. Iraq is just beginning to rebuild their army so they would be easy pickings for any decent sized country at this point.

6/23/2006 02:40:00 PM  
Blogger 2164th said...

That would keep me awake at night wondering who would attack Iraq. Imagine having to share the spoils of that war.

6/23/2006 02:43:00 PM  
Blogger 2164th said...

GWB could not be so lucky as to have someone else attack Iraq could he?

6/23/2006 02:45:00 PM  
Blogger Habu_1 said...

In my 11:02 posting I noticed some snickers in the audience when I included the Crips and Bloods in my list of bad boys.
Now we have the Miami Bad JuJu boys..home grown...we also have over 25% of the negro male population in jail. Many are converting to Islam.
Not to worry it's still The Big Rock Candy Mountain.

6/23/2006 02:51:00 PM  
Blogger Habu_1 said...

Doug (2:37)

I wish Steyn had used pudenda in his writing .. it just rolls off the tongue.

6/23/2006 02:54:00 PM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

Some people think Iraq's oil is pretty valuable. In fact the Iraqi groups are fighting amongst themselves for control of the oil. The Sunnis want constitutional changes to make sure they get some oil moneys and the Kurds & Shiites both want Kirkuk's oil.

6/23/2006 02:58:00 PM  
Blogger Papa Ray said...

I feel like a prediction today. Lets all meet here at this blog, the day after the coming U.S. Presidental election and see how close to right I am.

I predict all of these to be true (or very close)that day:

The U.S. will have at least two Megabases in Iraq, complete with extended runways, bunkers and hangers.

NATO will have a base there also, not quite so large and luxurious.

There will still be "some" U.S. troops in Kuwait.

The U.S. Embassy compound will be completed, even bigger and better than planned.

The UN compound will be fit for the would be kings that occupy it.

The three major factions in Iraq will still be killing each other, but it will be no worse than living in LA or Houston.

Iran will have the bomb, maybe several and will still be threating to wipe Israel off the map, but seems content now that they are the big boy on the block.

The discontent in Saudi Arabia will be at it's peak with rumors that they will have to have the UN or the US come in to prevent the overthrow of the Kingdom.

Pakistan will have become the center of the terrorists threat (in the ME) and growing problems and discontent with the U.S. and the President threaten more each passing month.

Afghanisn will still be the wild west training area for the worlds terrorists. We will have killed thousands upon thousands while NATO forces have lost at least 2000 soldiers.

That's all I can think of now. It's time for my nap anyway.

Feel free to add your own predictions. This could be interesting and very educational.

Till then.

Papa Ray
West Texas
USA

6/23/2006 03:01:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

And as you've said, let 'em have at it.

If Turkey wants more Kurds, why would we stop them from their goal?

Iraqi internal strife, it is our concern or not, w.w.
Mr Bush thinks it is, you've been all over the field. War or even threat of war is not in the cards.

Or the Humvees would not be coming back.
Logistics tell the tale.
More today than ever.

I would not have one wounded US troop as part of a price for the future of Kirkuk's oil.
Which ever local faction the Iraqi Federal government chooses to favor, that's democracy or civil war, baby.

6/23/2006 03:10:00 PM  
Blogger Habu_1 said...

PaPa Ray's got the spirit.

I predict that certain areas of the world will be dangerous.
That Bean-o will increase sales 13%
And finally 65% of all men will not wash their hands after taking a leak.

6/23/2006 03:11:00 PM  
Blogger whit said...

Like cawing crows, all we hear is "Iraq, Iraq, Iraq," What's done is done and old men sitting in recliners bitching about the Iraq war RoE and COIN don't solve the next immediate threat. It's time to move-on.

Saddam, the most immediate threat 3.5 years ago, is deposed and soon likely to swing on a rope. A democratically elected government is in place and oil flows. What more do we want? It's obvious that as long as the infidel (us) is there, some Arab jihadi will resist. Let the Iraqis carry their own water from here on out. We did what we set out to do. The rest is up to them.

For now, Iran is our problem.

Iran has been building its long range missle capacity and is working day and night on acquiring nukes. Meanwhile, the Iranians play the EU, UN and the IAEA for the fools they are.

As soon as Iran has nuclear weapons for their shiny new rocketry, it's stalemate, checkmate and a new caliphate.

Mount Up!

6/23/2006 03:14:00 PM  
Blogger bobalharb said...

I predict Lutherans will be debating the ethics of having gay clergy. :)

6/23/2006 03:15:00 PM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

I think Iraq is like any other country we liberated. If the people's elected government wants us to be their ally, then we should take them up on it. If not, we respect their freedom and walk away.

6/23/2006 03:15:00 PM  
Blogger Habu_1 said...

Whit,
A-OK to use Mercury Program lingo.

But don't worry 'cause we're still the greatest nation on Earth and the Big Rock Candy Mountain.

The City of Santa Monica has just voted to write all voting ballots in Urdu as well as Spanish, Chinese,Korean, and ebonics.

6/23/2006 03:21:00 PM  
Blogger bobalharb said...

GWB just issued an order prohibiting the Feds from using KELO v New London. At least one good thing has happened today.

6/23/2006 03:35:00 PM  
Blogger Habu_1 said...

The Army in an attempt to outsmart the unfriendlies will outfit a new brigade, The Code Pinks. Their Humvess will be international pink and each soldier will wear a pink rubber bracelet with "Cindy on it.
DARPA feels this will cut down on the number of IED's used against our forces.

Or as ARISTIDES put it so succinctly in his 8:31 posting.

Think of the Iran problem as a network, each node an actor, and each connection some information that is transmitted from one node to the other (this can be logistical, directional, or psychological information and coordination). For each node, there are k connections to other nodes. Further, for each node there is an l clustering coefficient (a clustering coefficient describes how many of your "connections" are connected to each other--basically, a high clustering coefficient describes a modular node).

6/23/2006 03:40:00 PM  
Blogger Habu_1 said...

bobalharb,
I believe the President will run smack into Marbury vs. Madison.
He can issue all the prohibitions he wants against KELO but it's now constitutional law and he'll lose.

It will take another case going through the process for KELO to be reversed, if it is.

Separation of powers.

6/23/2006 03:49:00 PM  
Blogger Habu_1 said...

bobalharb THIS IS NOT A JOKE !
Here's KELO one year later:

Kelo One Year Later: Part 2
Kelo has had two profound effects on land-use policymaker incentives. First, the Court has given the green light on economic development takings, so long as there is a development plan with a democratic process governing the decisionmaking (these are not real constraints because they amount to reporting requirements that are easy to meet--or, more appropriately, very difficult to show not being met). So the decision encourages local policymakers to do more central planning. This has serious knowledge and incentive problems that bring about inappropriate and abusive use of eminent domain.

A few examples of post-Kelo boldness:

1. In Hercules, CA, the city council on May 23, 2006, unanimously voted to seize property acquired by Wal-Mart, in order to prevent the retail giant from opening a store in town.

2. In Yolo County, CA, the government has claimed eminent domain on a 17,300 acre ranch whose current rightful owners plan to develop small segments while conserving the rest. The city has no plans for the large tract, but wants to preserve it and retain the water and mineral rights.

3. In Riviera Beach, FL, the mayor bent the state's open meetings law to rush a deal with the city's master developer, in which the city promises to use eminent domain on properties whose owners refuse to sell. The rush was to sign the contract before Florida's governor could sign legislation restricting eminent domain for economic development. Riviera Beach signed their deal a day before the governor signed the legislation.

4. In Los Angeles, the city has condemned dozens of business properties around the famous intersection of Hollywood and Vine streets to allow a private developer to build a luxury "W" hotel, condos, retail and restaurants. The city’s redevelopment agency said developing the area is impossible without eminent domain.

5. In New Jersey, a state whose high court has yet to rule on economic development takings, the Department of Transportation has seized 17 acres of working farmland from Harvestone Farms, a 154-acre patchwork of fields in a traditional NJ farming region. The state needs the farm land to offset loss of wetlands because of road construction over 50 miles away in Sussex County.

6. In March 2006, Long Beach, California began condemnation procedures on the Filipino Baptist Fellowship to allow developers to construct condominiums. The building was labeled blighted so the property could be taken by eminent domain.

7. In Sand Springs, OK, the predominantly black Centenial Baptist Church is on property that private developers have earmarked for big box. At the government's price, the church cannot afford to relocate. What's curious is the use of eminent domain to acquire the church property when there is plenty of land on which to develop and nearby chain stores that do generate tax revenue are not being targeted.

8. Daytona Beach, FL, was given permission by the Florida circuit court to acquire three beach front properties to make way for a retail complex. The city attorney stated that the Kelo decision was a factor in the case because it allows for cities to take private land.

9. One week after Kelo, Oakland officials evicted a tire shop and adjacent auto repair shop, whose owners had been resisting eminent domain, to pave the way for a new housing high rise. “The city thinks I cause ‘economic blight’ because I don't produce enough tax revenue,”' the tire shop owner said. “We thought we’d win, but the Supreme Court took away my last chance.” The auto shop owner added, “the cost of buying or leasing a new site is prohibitive. The money the city offered me does not cover it.”

10. In Memphis, city planners see a river front development plan ripe for eminent domain. The head of the redevelopment agency remarked, “[Kelo] definitely gives the city more tools in its tool box for dealing with the legal issues surrounding that piece of property.”

THIS IS NO JOKE.

6/23/2006 03:56:00 PM  
Blogger Aristides said...

Heh, yes, well I suppose it's not very succinct, at that.

It's very difficult to describe the reasons why we should attack the hubs of the network without getting into the technical jargon of network complexity. Suffice it to say that there is a lot of excellent literature on the subject (i.e. Center for Complex Network Research). The study of social networks and their dynamics is of particular interest here.

To give an example: in Sweden, a study was done to determine how STD's were transmitted in a society. A survey was taken asking a lot of people how many sexual partners they had had in their lifetimes. As you might imagine, most people had between 1 and 10, some had 10-20, and some even more than that. A small few actually had 1000+ sexual "connections" in their lifetimes.

If you graph this data, using people as nodes and connecting the nodes if those two people had sex, you would see the same type of phenomenon that I discusses above (scale-free network with power law distribution of 'k'). Most "nodes" would have between 1-10 connections, but a small few would have 1000+. These small few are the hubs.

The research concluded that the smartest way to battle STD's would be to attack those hubs, because those hubs are the connections to different groups and different people that otherwise would not be brought into the network of STD transmission. In essence, the hyper-promiscuous were the catalyst that turned a local infection into a city-wide epidemic.

Social networks are fluid and organic, but to continue to function as a network they are vulnerable at the core. If you want to destroy them, that is where you strike.

6/23/2006 04:15:00 PM  
Blogger Habu_1 said...

aristides,
you are a good chap.

it just be 'dat i comes from a apart of da country where you 'node sump'in or you didn't node it.
in dis here case i done didn't node what i node or not node.
so i just sat me down and ate me a mess a bawled peenuts wit sum possum dip ..now i node dats good eat'in.

6/23/2006 04:31:00 PM  
Blogger bobalharb said...

Habu--It's up to the states. Here in Idaho our legislature has already passed legislation on the matter. Also, we have a constitutional amendment on our ballot this fall reaffirming the strict takings clause that is already in our
constitution. I think KELO speaks to the issue of states being able to jettison the decision. I certainly do agree it is a mother in those states that don't act against it. It's got to be one of the five or so worst court decisions ever. But here in Idaho it's a dead letter. All states should follow our lead on this one. It provoked absolute howls of outrage here.

6/23/2006 04:43:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

yes habu,
come to the banana republics
come to the tropical sun

Property rights are about the same,
it's yours 'til it's not.

6/23/2006 04:45:00 PM  
Blogger bobalharb said...

It's terrible. It puts every podunk city council, county commission, agency you can think of in some kind of war of all against all. And think of the vast pool of opportunities for corruption, fraud,etc. Maybe it's THE worst court decision ever.

6/23/2006 04:56:00 PM  
Blogger Habu_1 said...

bobalharb,
I sincerely hope you are correct. I pointed out to my brother-in-law an article in the Wall Street Journal about 10 years ago. If I remember it was Midkiff vs. The Hawaiian Housing Authority. Seems like one of the islands was owned by only six families. Using eminent domain Hawaii took their private land and sold it to other private entities. It was big trouble I said.
Now this KELO stink, which is the most foul case I can think of. I'm glad Idaho had the good sense to protest. Florida did too and others will but my fear is the states rights thing. On our side is the fact that I believe it was a 5-4 decision so a new challenge will come.
But just how the hell did it get decided that way in the first place?
I have a place in Montana. If they come for it then 7.62 full metal jacket will speak for me until my end .. and no doubt they'd bomb me or some shit to "enforce the constitution"..... anyway I need to get back to more satire to handle this insanity.

6/23/2006 05:00:00 PM  
Blogger Habu_1 said...

DR,
Do they have mangos in banana republics. If they do I might buy some (until they take it) land, but it'll be damn hard to leave my Montana and Florida property.
I mean in Montana the men are men and so are the women and in Florida all I need is a trench coat and a park bench in South Beach.

6/23/2006 05:06:00 PM  
Blogger bobalharb said...

Habu--I know you are no fan of Wikipedia, but punch in Kelo there--Montana is listed as one of eight states that seem already to be Kelo-proof. You may not need that 7.62, at least in Montana. (or Idaho)

6/23/2006 05:14:00 PM  
Blogger Habu_1 said...

bobalharb,
Thanks for the info ... I'll keep the 7.62 shiny and clean just cause it was the first weapon issued to me in the Corps, and there are bad people coming into this country. Although the new Stoeger coach gun is fun too.
I think Wikipedia has recently tried to upgrade what they let pass to the screen. I do consult it for many things like Cubism vs. Mediterranian archtecture and just how bovine flatulence effects the ozone. Thanks again, you helped lower my blood pressure and now I don't have to spend two hours reloading ammo.

6/23/2006 05:30:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

Corrections:
"in dis here case i done didn't node what i node or not node.
so i just sat me down and ate me a mess a *bowled* peenuts wit sum possum dip ..now i node dats good eat'in.
---
...and just how bovine flatulence *affects* the ozone.
"

6/23/2006 06:28:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

Put Kelo to good use while it's around:
Raze the Capital and replace it with an amusement park based on a Replica of El Toro.

6/23/2006 06:32:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

bobal,
Keep us up to date with your daughter's success in teaching you how to paste a "url" into a post this weekend.
Curious minds want to know.

6/23/2006 06:43:00 PM  
Blogger Habu_1 said...

Doug,
I's caint thank ya 'nuff fer gittt'in me all straight on dem peanut thangs.

But now on the mo surious side, i wouldn't want no one to be talk'in about push'in the NY Times Bill Keller unda a moov'in subway,just 'cause he let out another secret that helps AQ. no sir. Let no man talk about whupp'in his ass from here to yonder. Like Mao done, "let a hundred flowers blossum"

6/23/2006 06:46:00 PM  
Blogger Cedarford said...

2164th in response to Wu Weis impassioned pleas that we must protect noble Iraqis from potential invaders:

That would keep me awake at night wondering who would attack Iraq. Imagine having to share the spoils of that war.

Now that is funny! "We must protect the infidel-killers and ingrates we have squandered 20,000 casualties and 600 billion China-borrowed dollars on -because - because - Ummmm....They are Noble and Freedom-loving! Yeah!"

Whit - Saddam, the most immediate threat 3.5 years ago, is deposed and soon likely to swing on a rope. A democratically elected government is in place and oil flows. What more do we want? It's obvious that as long as the infidel (us) is there, some Arab jihadi will resist.

Well, for starters, not neing frog-marched out of the country we defeated in regular combat in 3 weeks - by resurgent Sunnis and Shiites claiming ultimate victory over Infidel scum by virtue of their tactics of terror and being smarter and more ruthless than the neocon thinkers of the Bush Administration.

The idea of getting rid of Saddam was so he would not assist Islamists that target any infidel walking around unprotected with death. Now we have a country where it is death to be an infidel.

The idea in invading Iraq was to prove that terror or supporting terror never works. The Sunni insurgency and the soon-to-be honored foreign fighters that will leave Iraq to parades of well-wishers vs. the stones the last US forces may face turns that on it's head. Terror still works. It breaks the will of the American public and neutralizes much of what an invading Army sets out to do.

So Saddam swings. The killers of infidel scum like us, not the "pure, innocent Iraqis" will walk. Our media and liberal Democrats will ensure no such amnesty goes to our soldiers who similarly fought "dirty but victoriously".

The oil flows....OK. To where? Who will get the contracts? US - the American atrocity-doing infidel pigs & killers of innocent Sunnis? Or to nations where the Democratically elected government can best display it's idependence fom the Crusader Jew oppressor? China. France. Germany. Russia.

6/23/2006 07:24:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

Maybe we should check out Powerline:
They were on Hewitt, wonder why admin does not go after Bill.
Said what he leaked is more important than the China spy guy who is being prosecuted.
Both are constitutional lawyers, of course.
No vetos, no prosecution of traitors, no enemies, no hard feelings, no borders, no country...
No Balls, that's for d... sure.

6/23/2006 07:28:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

"In other words, if any story can colorably create the impression that this administration -- this Republican administration -- is abusing information on citizens, then the "public interest" in the Times making that argument overrides all other considerations of protecting the life and limb of those same citizens.

It makes me slightly sick to think of the administration pleading with left-wing editors, who fear the president more than they fear terrorists, to act in a manner that enables the government to protect public safety. Perhaps the day will come when Keller is pleading with the government for a favorable plea bargain.
I doubt it, though.

More importantly, so does Keller.
"
- Paul at Powerline

6/23/2006 07:35:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

At least if we had a real eunich for president, he could sing for us.
---
Phoney times:
Feminized Males stand in for real Eunichs.

6/23/2006 07:39:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

Rep. J.D. Hayworth (R-AZ)
Facing the illegals invasion...

J.D's Book: Whatever It Takes

6/23/2006 10:50:00 PM  
Blogger blert said...

5:00 PM
Habu_1 said...

bobalharb,
I sincerely hope you are correct. I pointed out to my brother-in-law an article in the Wall Street Journal about 10 years ago. If I remember it was Midkiff vs. The Hawaiian Housing Authority. Seems like one of the islands was owned by only six families. Using eminent domain Hawaii took their private land and sold it to other private entities. It was big trouble I said.


Please do not confuse the Bishop Estate stranglehold and fake school charity that had corrupted the entire political elite with what is going on now. That was a VERY special case. Imagine a ‘charity’ that is headed by ex-governors and chiefs of the state supreme court.

6/23/2006 11:17:00 PM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

Nobody is for a withdrawal, even a timetable, for the troops

-- Iraqi Foreign Minister Hoshyar Zebari

Which brings us to the next topic: the continuing necessity of coalition forces in Iraq. Mr. Zebari's primary mission in New York, in fact, was to review the U.N. mandate of coalition forces. He tells me about a fascinating discussion among Iraqi political leaders shortly before he left for New York. He told them, he says, that the new government was perfectly within its rights to ask for the departure of foreign troops. But he says he found no takers. In fact, the loudest objection to the idea came from Adnan al-Dulaimi, who represents a Sunni community generally thought to be most hostile to the "occupiers." They know only too well that coalition troops are their best protection against shadowy Baathist thugs who would like to lay claim to the Sunni leadership mantle. "Before the Sunnis were raising the flag for a withdrawal of all occupying forces immediately, that they are the sources of all the ills. Now they are the ones asking that they should stay," Mr. Zebari says.

Intimidation "is a problem," he continues. "That is, an intimidation campaign carried out primarily by the Baathists." He also says he believes the Baathists are behind the majority of terrorist attacks: "Identifying the enemy is very important. I personally believe the incubator of this so-called 'insurgency' is the Baath Party, is the remnant of Saddam's regime. Even with Zarqawi and al Qaeda, who are very lethal. But without them [the Baathists] providing the infrastructure, the support, the intelligence, the hideouts--then the attacks would not happen."



http://opinionjournal.com/editorial/feature.html?id=110008564

(free registration required)

6/24/2006 04:13:00 AM  
Blogger desert rat said...

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

6/24/2006 05:54:00 AM  
Blogger Habu_1 said...

ww
If the Baathists are the suspected problem, here's the solution.

Gather up all the Ole Baathist, spread them with bacon fat,put old panties over their heads, let ravenous dogs nip at their genitals,hit them in the head with shoes or sandals.
Now this is just a good start. If they continue to act up we move to phase two which involves collard greens, grits, and Frogmore stew, a Sea Island specialty.
Phase three we kill 'em.
Easy as 1,2,3.

6/24/2006 06:43:00 AM  
Blogger Habu_1 said...

From TheSmallestMinority.com

Professor Bainbridge comments on the case, quoting The Economist:
Put simply, cities cannot take someone's house just because they think they can make better use of it. Otherwise, argues Scott Bullock, Mrs Kelo's lawyer, you end up destroying private property rights altogether. For if the sole yardstick is economic benefit, any house can be replaced at any time by a business or shop (because they usually produce more tax revenues). Moreover, if city governments can seize private property by claiming a public benefit which they themselves determine, where do they stop? If they decide it is in the public interest to encourage locally-owned shops, what would prevent them compulsorily closing megastores, or vice versa? This is central planning.
That's exactly right. You and I can see that, but through the miracle (snort!) of stare decisis, SCOTUS appears to have backed itself into a corner where it cannot admit that fact, even if it wanted to - and my guess is that at least four if not more justices wouldn't want to anyway. They like central planning.

Re-read that excerpt from the Berman decision; "If Congress decides that the Nation's Capital shall be beautiful as well as sanitary, there is nothing in the Fifth Amendment that stands in the way." If that's not an endorsement of central planning, I don't know what it is.

6/24/2006 06:57:00 AM  
Blogger Habu_1 said...

Now I suggest we take Mr. Kelo and his lawyer and cover them with bacon fat,put old panties over their heads, hit them in the head with shoes and sandals, have ravenous dogs nip at them.
Since they are using the judicial system i will spare them the Frogmore stew.

6/24/2006 07:01:00 AM  
Blogger Smacko said...

DR

Found an interesting milblogger via Blackfive.

Vets For Freedom

Some info on how the MiT teams are working. It looks like a 10:1 ratio of ISF to Coalition.

6/24/2006 07:24:00 AM  
Blogger Smacko said...

lol

Very funny from my previous link:

David: I can’t believe our walkie-talkies are not working! That is the worst $19.95 I have every spent. Please take me off your spam list so I can email you. My emails are getting kicked back. I feel like I am in some type of bizzaro Iraqi science fiction movie where the only means of communication is a blog. If all else fails, meet me at midnight under the bell tower in Iskandariyah.

6/24/2006 07:28:00 AM  
Blogger desert rat said...

Fabulous news, about the right mix, 10-1.
Depends on how involved in operations the US troops are. If operating as more than advisors 7-1 would be better, but 10-1 is enough if the Iraqis carry most of the water.

As your man says, we started a bit late and are playing catch up, but at least they've begun to get a handle on it.

6/24/2006 07:33:00 AM  
Blogger Traitors at the NYT said...

Former Baathist Party members have decided to retrench and retool in their fight against the infidels.
It is being reported that to confuse the Coalition of the Willing and the new Iraqi government the Baathists will become the Showerists.
By doing so they gain greater mobility and it becomes easier for them to remove the residue of war and ill will.
They also intend to participate in a candlelight vigil in hopes of providing a "Guiding Light" for the 12th Mahdi to crwl out of his hole.
That is Mahdi good news.

DR/Smacko ... the real test for the Iraqi forces are now to see just how many will surrender to an RPV when the going gets tough.

6/24/2006 08:39:00 AM  
Blogger desert rat said...

If well led, the Iraqi will do as well as any man. They make up both sides of this Civil War.
To assume the Insurgents better men is foolish. If there are enough solid troops embedded in the ranks, history shows the recruits will hold.
Training and experience is all important. Though the experiences in Taji and Ramadi indicate we are not training the Iraqi in combat ops but in CYA politics.
The Army officers know it's a "Long War" and that they are not expected to "win" it.
So they do not.
Fulfilling expectations.

6/24/2006 08:55:00 AM  
Blogger 2164th said...

You have to laugh at the audacity of the NYT. They have been major proponents of the political correctness which in its most advanced and insane form has home grown Islamists working at airport security gates pulling blue haired white ladies out of line for frisking. The idiocy has compounded so that the government has to listen to all phone calls and inspect all financial transactions when a focused examination of Islamic transactions and calls would do just fine. The next time you hear someone opining about connecting the dots, tell them "They can't handle the dots!"

6/24/2006 09:07:00 AM  
Blogger Habu_1 said...

A paragraph from today's VDH papers. This man is masterful. Plus he just agrees with me, always a solipsistic plus.

"Our rules of engagement are aimed at winning “hearts and minds.” That precludes the age-old formula for such postwar rebuilding: reconstruct only after the enemy has been humiliated and defeated. A Curtis LeMay would have advised leveling Fallujah in April to save the war; we shrug that doing so would surely lose it. Somewhere the ghost of a Thucydides or Hobbes or Churchill might adjudicate our debate in ways that we might not like"

As I said so many times, where are the war winners?

6/24/2006 12:27:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

6/24/2006 12:49:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

The Iraq War?

So far the winners are in Tehran, Damascus and Gaza.

Mr Sistani and Mr al-Sadr are both winners, where ever they may be today.

The Supreme Council for Islamic Revolution in Iraq (SCIRI) and the DAWA Party are both winnners in the Baghdad power struggle.

The Kurds, represented by Mr Talabani and Mr Hoshyar Zebari are winners, so far.

The US is down 20,000 casualties and $600 Billion USD to bring about this state of affairs.

Long serving Army officers do not trust the Iraqis or their troops. They feel that the Iraqis must be seperated from our troops, with little interaction. They frown upon Iraqi troops taking aggresive actions against the Insurgents. The Camp Taji story is indicitive of the problem.

What do they know, that makes them doubt the attainability of the Goal of turning Security Ops over to the Iraqi?

6/24/2006 12:50:00 PM  
Blogger 2164th said...

Habu, 12:27 asks. DR 12:50 answers. I would like to see the look on GWB's face if that was asked of him.

6/24/2006 01:10:00 PM  
Blogger Habu_1 said...

DR
I do enjoy reading your analysis of the current events. Insightful, with a peppering of wit and sarcasm which are used to keep the piece flowing.

Plus you are on top of this thing like I'm sure not and that saves me the heartburn and acid reflux.

I ask this out of ignorance but just how much lee way does an Abizaid have in prosecuting the war, or is he just relaying to his command stuff from above? Thx

6/24/2006 01:18:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

I must say, habu, that I really do not know how much latitude the Commanders have.
I have read Mr Rumsfeld complain of the lack of control he has over the "way things are".
Over a year ago he complained about the RoE's being vague and unitelligable. But could not change them. Lawyers are often cited as the reason.

I would imagine that in differing areas the latitudes would differ. But remember, General Casey said he personally approved the strike on mini Z. As I recall the after action reporting on the subject.

That would indicate, to me, a rather constrained and top heavy command structure for an airstrike approval against, what one would assume to be, a preapproved target of opportunity.

Micro managed from on high.

The reports I've read point to it being systemic feature of the Army of One.

In cases like Abu Garib, however, I recall the signs on the walls prohibiting photography.
The respect for Regulations and Rules were so lacking, it was a major disaster. Not the pantie raids, but the photos.
Which Regulations posted on the wall clearly prohibited.
But no one cared.
No management at all.

6/24/2006 01:46:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

By SALAD DUHUL, Associated Press Writer

MOGADISHU, Somalia -- A fundamentalist Muslim who is listed by the U.S. State Department as a suspected al-Qaida collaborator was named Saturday as the new leader of an Islamic militia that has seized control of Somalia's capital.

The militia said in a statement it had appointed Sheikh Hassan Dahir Aweys, who the Bush administration says was an associate of Osama bin Laden in the early 1990s.

6/24/2006 02:16:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

This is the caption to the photo accompanying the article

Militia from the Islamic Courts Union arrive at a rally against neighboring Ethiopia's alleged interference in Somali affairs moments after an unidentified gunman shot dead a Swedish cameraman, Friday, June 23, 2006 in the Somali capital, Mogadishu. The assailant came up from behind and shot the cameraman through the chest at close range, killing him on the spot before disappearing in the crowd, an Associated Press reporter who witnessed the shooting said. Another Western reporter who was walking with the victim was unhurt. (AP Photo/Mohamed Sheikh Nor)

Shot him straight in the heart

Damn MSM!
Another European dead, reporting the News. If a little spin is the price to be paid, seems a fair enough trade.

The video equipment is not that costly, free lance reporting is all the rage.
The risks are deadly, but what the hey! Then the stories could be spun another way.

6/24/2006 02:34:00 PM  
Blogger Habu_1 said...

DR,
I imagine there are few, if any Vietnam Warriors are still in any of the ranks, and I remember from my Logic classes that all analogies are false but you'd think the C3, now C4 or whatever iteration it is would have incorporated some lessons.
I had a history professor (probably a leftist, but at 18 what do you know) who flat out said we learn nothing from history.
Sometimes I reflect on that and it seems to have a certain truth.
Our high tech communications have paralyzed the squad leaders reflexes while he worries about commands on high and Alice in Wonderland ROE's. They use to be our strength, now who knows?

6/24/2006 02:43:00 PM  
Blogger Wu Wei said...

Children looking for handouts of candy would often approach 1st Lt. Anselm T.W. Richards and the men in his platoon. The soldiers would oblige them, then ask for information.

Sometimes, the children would tell them who made bombs and dealt in weapons. Everybody in town seemed to know the answer.

One day, Richards says, the parents of a 12-year-old boy told him their son had been beheaded by insurgents because he accepted a soccer ball as a gift from soldiers.

"We said to the parents, 'You tell us who did it and we will get them.' They said if we talk to you, they'll kill us as well,'" says Richards, a hedge fund broker from Philadelphia.


Link

It's a waste of time even trying to deal with people like those parents. Either they made up a cock and bull story because they favor the insurgents, or they are so weak that they don't even want revenge for the death of their child.

6/24/2006 02:52:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

No w.w., most likely they have a half dozen other children, orphans in waiting. The US security system in Iraq is dysfunctional. The Insurgents dealt with "later".

That is not what the strong horse does.

The people may wish revenge, they do not believe the US can deliver it.

6/24/2006 03:21:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

As the Headman's conversation in Mosul is paraphrased,
"You let them go, after only a few months!"
The young Lt.
"No sir, they were released by Iraqi Courts"
"Lies! The US released them! The US is in Charge! You are responsible!"
As reported by Mr Yon, if recollection serves adequately.

6/24/2006 03:27:00 PM  
Blogger The Mad Fiddler said...

The stinking Left will not be satisfied by anything other than that we all take a marker, make a dotted line on our necks labeled “cut HERE” and kneel down before the nearest Jihadi fanatic.

6/24/2006 03:55:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

6/24/2006 04:30:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

We Give You Wampum and Taquitos, You Give Away the Country!
WASHINGTON, June 24 —
For the White House, the Congressional picnic last week seemed like the perfect setting to continue mending strained relations with Republican allies on Capitol Hill:

President Bush and his advisers eating taquitos and Mexican confetti rice on the lawn of the White House with Republican Congressional leaders.

6/24/2006 04:33:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

Hot off the Newsweak wire

WEB EXCLUSIVE
By Rod Nordland
Newsweek
Updated: 9:42 a.m. MT June 24, 2006
June 24, 2006 -
A timetable for withdrawal of occupation troops from Iraq. Amnesty for all insurgents who attacked U.S. and Iraqi military targets. Release of all security detainees from U.S. and Iraqi prisons. Compensation for victims of coalition military operations. ...

...they're also key clauses of a national reconciliation plan drafted by new Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, who will unveil it Sunday. The provisions will spark sharp debate in Iraq—but the fiercest opposition is likely to come from Washington, ...

...The plan also calls for a withdrawal timetable for coalition forces from Iraq, but it doesn't specify an actual date—one of the Sunnis' key demands. It calls for "the necessity of agreeing on a timetable under conditions that take into account the formation of Iraqi armed forces so as to guarantee Iraq's security," and asks that a U.N. Security Council decree confirm the timetable. Mahmoud Othman, a National Assembly member who is close to President Talabani, said that no one disagrees with the concept of a broad, conditions-based timetable. ...

...U.S. ambassador to Iraq, Zalmay Khalilzad, in a recent interview with NEWSWEEK referred to a "conditions-driven roadmap" rather than a timetable. Officially, the U.S. position is that coalition troops would leave as soon as Iraqi government officials say they're able to handle their own security, which leaves some room for diplomatic wiggle if the Iraqis declare their own intended timetable. ...

...Equally contentious from the U.S. point of view is the idea of granting amnesty to insurgents who have attacked and killed American soldiers. That is almost taken as a given by Iraqi negotiators, however. The draft plan calls for the release of all security detainees being held without charges in the country, estimated at as many as 14,000, going far beyond Maliki's announcement two weeks ago that he would be releasing 2,500 such detainees. ...


The humvess are rolling home again hoorah, hoorah!

We'll give 'em a hearty welcome and
hoorah, hoorah!

The men will sing and the girls will shout, the ladies they will all fall out;

When the humvees come rollin' home



Hate to say I told ya so...

6/24/2006 04:35:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

"That is not what the strong horse does."
---
The Strong Horse would have LEVELED Tikrit and surrounds, and SAVED Iraqi and AMERICAN LIVES in the short and long run.
---
But hey, what do I know?
I don't even realize how GREAT this country will be with no borders and 100 Million new uneducable unassimable citizens.
---
What a Crock!

6/24/2006 04:38:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

"amnesty to insurgents who have attacked and killed American soldiers. That is almost taken as a given by Iraqi negotiators, however.

"...Principle No. 19 calls for "Recognizing the legitimacy of the national resistance and differentiating or separating it from terrorism" while "encouraging the national resistance to enroll in the political process and recognizing the necessity of the participation of the national resistance in the national reconciliation dialogue." ..."<.i>

Gotta love it.

As whit was saying

On to Tehran!

or not

6/24/2006 04:41:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

Think how much Shock, Awe, and Long Lived RESPECT we would have EARNED throughout the ME if most all of Saddam's relatives and fellow people shredders had been vaporized in the first week!

6/24/2006 04:41:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

Principal Number 20:
Elect an Old-School MALE as POTUS.

6/24/2006 04:43:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

Doug '08!

6/24/2006 04:43:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

"...and asks that a U.N. Security Council decree confirm the timetable. ..."

Let's think about these two diverse but soon to be intersecting timelines.
The UN will consider Iran nuclear capacity and the US occupation of Iraq, at about the same time.
All pre November election,
July & August, actually.

All the while you guys thought the UN served no purpose.

Think of the vote deals possible now, the back slaps & stabs, and the negotiations, France, Russia, China, all with their hands out.

Gonna' be grand.

6/24/2006 04:54:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

2164th:
"Habu, 12:27 asks. DR 12:50 answers. I would like to see the look on GWB's face if that was asked of him. "
---
GWB:
Want some Taquitos with them Wieners?
---
The he flashes his famous wit:
Man those Dumb F... CITIZENS are Gonna Suck the BIG WIENER, and Karl's gonna make 'em LIKE it!

6/24/2006 04:58:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

Iran in Iraq
indeed
expanding the game to Turtle Bay.

6/24/2006 05:02:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

Today Tehran,
Tommorrow Azatlan!

6/24/2006 05:04:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

6/24/2006 05:04:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

"Release of all security detainees from U.S. and Iraqi prisons.
Compensation for victims of coalition military operations....
JAILTIME for Perpetraitors sic of said WarCrimes.
"

6/24/2006 05:20:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

JFKerry and his crew, all they had to do was wait a week, then come out strong for Mr Maliki.
Mr Bush would still be back pedaling on the timeline and the Dems would be promoting both departure and victory as defined by Mr Maliki and the locals.
All on about the same schedule.


Idiots.

6/24/2006 05:24:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

Now the timeline debate goes to the UN Security Council for a resolution & decree.

Arbitrate between the Iraqi "national resistance" and the US. To set a date for a peaceful pullout, who you tryin' to kid. Of course they'll set a date, or we veto.
No PR win there.

Did you see the US vs Italy soccor game. That's how we'll do at the UN. The referees are not unbiased.

6/24/2006 05:32:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

"Can I Git Me a Huntin License in Here?"

6/24/2006 05:33:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

referencing 5:24 PM
"Idiot"

6/24/2006 05:34:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

Once there is a defined Goal
The end is in sight

Because the Goal, it will be achieved

By letting others define yhe Goals and by extention, Victory, Mr Bush will have lost the advantage.
But the Dems, by not acknowledging victory even possible at the achievable Goal, will lose even more credibility.
Falling even further behind the reality curve.

I've never seen the like.
I've only read about such governmental dysfunction.

Just prior to their collapse

6/24/2006 05:48:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

6/24/2006 05:54:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

"I've never seen the like.
I've only read about such governmental dysfunction.
"
---
Throw money, treasure, lives, and heritage at it it.
It's the Compassionate Conservative thing to do.
Like Katrina.
Education.
Health and Welfare.
Immigration.
---
Bet Lemay knew "Curtis L" did not not stand for LOSER!

6/24/2006 05:57:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

NOTHING in politics has ever galled me as much as W and his minions self-righteously and condescendingly addressing those who disagreed wrt to Immigration by mounting their High Horse of Superior COMPASSION for the downtrodden.
Without a hint of giving a DAMN about the American Wage-earners, particularly the downtrodden!
Not to mention ALL the taxpayers.
And finally, Vets who Sacrificed to make this country what it became, NOT the Globalist Wet Dream of GWB.

6/24/2006 06:06:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

How very "Rockefeller Republican" it is to "forget" the American Wagearner!
...with huzzahs from the "Conservative" WSJ which I may despise more than CNN.

6/24/2006 06:10:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

Since "Honest George" has acknowledged how IMPORTANT security/illegal crossings are to our National Interest,
he'll crack down on that stuff to the maximum extent possible under present law,
even IF New Legislation is not passed,
RIGHT?
---
Just like he "will" if New Law is passed!
Honest.

6/24/2006 06:23:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

WSJ is many things, doug, being part of the partisan press is one of them.

They represent their readers, or who they think their readers are.
Almost all publishers behave in a like manner.

They represent their Public, which votes for them each day, by buying the paper, or watching the show.
Some publisher types take this quite seriously, as a duty, so to speak.

It is, in part, what gives them their self rightous "high ground".

Been there, done that.

6/24/2006 06:28:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

Didja get to listen to the Hayworth interview with Hedgecock?
Two of my favorites.
Roger took on a pleasant Egyptian Doctor named "Osama" who would have gotten a pass by most of us, cause it seemed quite pro-US.
Roger, however, compared and contrasted how much criticism and SELF Criticism the Catholic Church got from it's followers wrt to the Pedophile Priests.
No such honesty elsewhere.
Guess that's why ISLAM gets a pass and is taught to California 7th Graders, Separation, or NO Separation between Church and...

6/24/2006 06:52:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

Napolitano has the Arizona Guard Rotating Tires and changing oil for the border Patrol.
---
Meanwhile the Border IS Militarized.
...on the other side.

6/24/2006 06:58:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

The Tancredo Republicans
Friday, June 23, 2006
Novel strategy: Run on their lack of accomplishment.

On the other hand, J.D. Hayworth could lose his seat in Arizona despite taking his anti-immigration riff to any radio or TV show that will have him.

What might well cost all of them their seats is the growing perception that this Congress hasn't achieved much of anything.
---
JD LEADS BY FIFTEEN POINTS!

6/24/2006 07:05:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

WSJ - Voice of SOME of the people!

6/24/2006 07:07:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

Roger Hedgecock interviews
Rep. J.D. Hayworth (R-AZ)
Facing the illegals invasion...

6/24/2006 07:09:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

As I believe smacko mentioned the other day, Mr Bush has been working on the "opening" of Mexico since at least 1995. In conjunction with the I-35 corridor project. Which Texas got under way without major Federal assistance, under Mr Bush's Governorship, per smacko.
It is no secret, Mr Bush's position.
9-11 set back his initial Immigration Program reform, now 5 years of under the wire influx has finally hit the radar.
It is a major challenge here, but not acknowledged by the Government, except to use as a scapegoat or strawman.
A shame really, cause it effects the lives of real people. Most of whom we'd be happy to have, in an orderly fashion.

6/24/2006 07:09:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

Roger is a UCSB Alum.
...along with Joe Wilson and Babs Bodine.
Was Mayor of San Diego, and is a recovering Lawyer.
Also Restranteur, now Talk Show Host.

6/24/2006 07:11:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

The reconfigured JD's disrict, took him out of the Indian country and put Tempe, the University town, in it's stead. A old time University type is running against him. JD still has the northern Scottsdale area, though. It's pulled him through in the past.

6/24/2006 07:13:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

"Most of whom we'd be happy to have, in an orderly fashion"
---
But not 100 Million, in ANY Fashion!

6/24/2006 07:13:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

7:13 PM If he lost, it would "prove" Bush right on immigration, not that redistricting works!

6/24/2006 07:15:00 PM  
Blogger desert rat said...

If he loses, the Republicans will lose the House.
Arizona has always had Federal clout out of proportion to it's population. Senior Senators and Representitives, Supreme Court Jusices, Attn. Generals and the like. While recently solid Republican, except in the south, we have historicaly split it's tickets, it is in many ways a very liberal State. Mr McCain fits right in. It could be Blue in a moment.
If AZ swings, it'll be part of a cascade.

6/24/2006 07:22:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

Doctor Chertoff, Bush EXPERT on Homeland Security:
"Fences don't work."

Roger Hedgecock, ex-Mayor of San Diego:
"Works fine here!"

6/24/2006 07:35:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

Chertoff "Promises" to have border secured by the TENTH Anniversary of 9-11.
...without fences, of course.
"Comprehensive" Control, I guess.

6/24/2006 07:37:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

"Blue in a moment."
...a few more Bush Moments of
"Securing the Border"
Should Swing things.

6/24/2006 07:40:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

LA School District
(one of nation's largest)
High School graduation rate:
...less than 45%!

6/24/2006 07:57:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

Liberal and Compassionate Conservatives know:
"Children Are Our Future"

6/24/2006 07:59:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

"Bilbray won his special election victory in California this month by demagoguing immigration. But all that election really proved is that a GOP Beltway lobbyist could keep a seat in a 60% Republican district"
---
I think Duke Cunningham got 49%!
...just the facts, maam, this IS the WSJ.

6/24/2006 08:22:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

"Americans are smart enough to know that immigrants will keep coming as long as they have the economic incentive to do so.

They also don't want the social disruption favored by the deport-'em-all Tancredo Republicans.
"
---
When all else fails, LIE, j
ust like their Representative:
GWB

6/24/2006 08:30:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

On the Editorial Page
"Nobody is for a withdrawal, even a timetable," says Iraq's foreign minister.

...He seems to think many problems could have been mitigated had Iraqis been allowed to move toward self-government much, much sooner.

"The biggest mistake, honestly, if you go back, was not entrusting the Iraqis as partners, to empower them, to see them do their part, to fill the vacuum, to have a national unity government," he says.

According to Gen. Jay Garner, who briefly ruled Iraq before he was peremptorily replaced by Mr. Bremer in May 2003, that was exactly the plan. His provisional government probably would have included Kurdish leaders Massoud Barzani and Jalal Talabani, secular Shiites Ahmed Chalabi and Ayad Allawi, religious Shiite Ibrahim al-Jaafari and Abdul Aziz al-Hakim, and the Sunni Adnan Pachachi. The idea was that free elections would soon follow.

But "if you read Bremer's book ["My Year in Iraq"], when he came, one of his tasks was to stop these 'exiles,' " Mr. Zebari says. "I think the biggest sin was to change the mission from liberation to occupation.
That is the mother of all sins, honestly."

6/24/2006 08:41:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

Mr. Zebari is reluctant to name names.
But the drivers of the anti-"exile" policy included Colin Powell, Condoleezza Rice, Richard Armitage and former Bremer aide (and current deputy national security adviser) Meghan O'Sullivan.
In the end, U.S. attempts to empower "indigenous" Iraqis proved worse than a failure.

6/24/2006 08:48:00 PM  
Blogger Habu_1 said...

Bush and his minions are working overtime to finish establishing what is now known as "The North American Union"
A book will be out July 25th by Jim Gilchrist and Jerome Corsi:
"Minutemen: The Battle to Secure Americas Borders".

It is becoming apparent that W has no intention of impedeing the formation of a trans Canada/US/Mexico country. It's formation is designed to trump the US Constitution and create a new entity.

This is a topic our host should highlight in an Original Post. It is of great magnitude and will create a whole new blog attitude..fury.
It would seem we have reached a point in our history where neither the Republicans or the Democrats want to preserve the Union as such.

What did Jefferson say about the tree of liberty being watered with the blood of ....

6/24/2006 08:55:00 PM  
Blogger Habu_1 said...

It does look like the new Iraqi guvment is fix'in to put the screws to the US of A.

If it goes down that way we can forget any foreign intervention, anywhere and we'd better start riding bikes or drilling in the ANWAR. A bullet in Chavez's head would be a good move too.
It's just almost too much to comprehend what the Iraqi's are proposing.
We should have just killed them all and taken the oil. Course we could still do that to Saudi Arabia.

6/24/2006 09:18:00 PM  
Blogger Doug said...

"This is a topic our host should highlight in an Original Post."
---
Whether or not Wretchard choses to write on this subject
(He IS in OZ and may not feel a mastery)
I think it is a Damn Shame on the "Conservative Blogosphere" that virtually all the heavy lifting so far has been done by others, from Talk Radio, to NRO, to Human Events, and etc.
If the bloggers had been on the job, EVERYONE would know what a
COMPLETE FRAUD THE KENNEDY McCAIN/BUSH BILL IS,
whether they are for or against anything else.

6/24/2006 09:20:00 PM  

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