Tuesday, January 08, 2008

Round 2

Hillary wins New Hampshire. More at Pajamas Media.

I have to say I was wrong in believing that Hillary's campaign had been destroyed. But one thing I think is still valid: the assertion that new communications channels has made the emergence of surprise trends much more likely. As I wrote in the comments section of the Perfect Storm, "Just as Hillary was vulnerable to the the amplification of the intimate event so is Barack. Some small thing which he might not even be aware of can build up and hit practically overnight." Maybe the polls were wrong, or perhaps there was a sudden sympathy vote for Hillary among women voters or the so-called Bradley effect, whatever it was showed how hard it is to predict the future.

Nothing follows.


Blogger El Jefe Maximo said...

I wonder if Broward County has reported in yet. . .

1/08/2008 08:03:00 PM  
Blogger CW said...

Having worked for Dem machines in both MD and Chicago, I was immediately suspicious when I heard that polling stations had run out of ballots by late morning. Perhaps the stock of ballots had been previously filled in. Or, perhaps some people were taking advantage of NH's permissive motor-voter law.

Does anyone know whether there are chads on NH ballots?


1/08/2008 08:34:00 PM  
Blogger Mad Fiddler said...

I'm prepared to demand a public recount on absentee ballots from active duty military personnel and other New Hampshire residents who may have submitted their ballots long before they had the benefit of the Iowa results or Hillary's public display of human emotion designed to prove she has some.

1/08/2008 11:07:00 PM  
Blogger Tregonsee said...

One anchor, while explaining why they so quickly called for McCain but not for Clinton, remarked that one precinct had reported an 87% vote for one candidate. He said that was sufficiently unusual that they were putting off until the situation was clarified. The name of the candidate was not given, but one does wonder.

1/09/2008 03:54:00 AM  
Blogger hdgreene said...

It's a good thing that the folks who spread the rumors in the African American Community about stealing elections and suppressing the vote are paid by the Democrat Machine.

I was watching a news show before the election where one of the political reporters at the Clinton rally said, "look at all the out of state plates in the parking lot." I thought at the time, "well, gee, they are there to drive voters to the polls -- from New York."

But really, it were the Clinton Cry. She cried for all the children -- a sob lasting 35 years -- and the grand parents responded.

1/09/2008 04:23:00 AM  
Blogger Wretchard said...

Obama conceded. Maybe he has bigger fish to fry than New Hampshire. Newsmax says the "Daley machine" threw its support beind Obama back in October of 2007. So Obama's got some traditional political muscle too. When things roll around to his turf, the shoe may be on the other foot.

1/09/2008 04:26:00 AM  
Blogger druu222 said...

Soemthing very much worth noting is that I, who is vert very smart and very very well-informed (ahem) via the blogosphere.... was perfectly willing to assume she was dead in the water like every one else. Why? Because all the pollsters and pundits said so!

This is why we can triumphantly proclaim the power of independant media all we want, but there is still a ferocious battle to be fought even in our own minds, against the herd mentality of the MSM.

If we, the independant media consumers, can get sucked in so easily, what about the tens of millions (and we all work with them and talk to them every single day) who still take the MSM's words as God's own truth, even as they would not even be aware of it and deny doing so.

Lesson for us all.

1/09/2008 07:26:00 AM  
Blogger TmjUtah said...

I believe she'll be done by February.

As in "fork", and "stick it in", done.

The key for both sides is going to be "electability".

She's ain't. And neither is McCain. He won New Hampshire in 2004, IRC, too.

1/09/2008 09:28:00 AM  
Blogger always right said...

And neither is McCain. He won New Hampshire in 2004, IRC, too.

Re: McCain's win in NH
You may be right, but Romney is the "loser" here. He is governor from neighboring state, spent time and money in hope of a win. If it is a close race (similar to Clinton-Obama), you can write it off. But not with the spread last night.

Does Romney want a VP job?

1/09/2008 11:15:00 AM  

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